“If they had their $#it together, it would have been over for Ukraine on Day One.”
I thought so at the time. Or by @day 14 anyway.
Ukraine had too few troops mobilized to hold their border or block exploitation into their strategic rear. The whole country was leaky like a sieve. Russia could have seized the Dneiper crossings, or critical locations deep in the rear of where the bulk of the serving army was deployed, and that would have been it.
The Russian military was, however, simply too incompetent to even organize a road march in enemy territory.
The Ukrainians did a great job fighting back. But why didn't they mobilize more troops at the beginning? If they were Israel, they would have mobilized before the invasion because we could tell from the satellites that the Russians were planning to invade.
The Americans warned the Ukrainians and gave them intel.
Looking back, I didn't think Russia was going to invade. I thought Putin was bluffing.