Could be.
Russia, China, USA, all have lackluster economies and the house of cards for china is going right now. Ours soon to follow. Both tied to real estate. Russia doesnt have the same issue but theres no worldwide demand for rubles or investment there. So they are all hurting and when economies suck hard and the leaders suck, fhey all say lets start some wars to jumpstart the economy and kill off a bunch of men.