Skip to comments.The last day of the old GOP order
Posted on 07/15/2023 7:50:53 AM PDT by bitt
THE LAST DAY OF THE OLD GOP ORDER. This day eight years ago, July 13, 2015, marked the last day that old-style Republican politics dominated the GOP presidential race. The day saw Jeb Bush, the former Florida governor and third Bush to run for the Republican nomination, firmly in the lead in a highly fractured GOP field, with 17.8% of the national vote in the RealClearPolitics average of polls. That was 8 points ahead of Wisconsin's then-Gov. Scott Walker and 8.5 points ahead of a candidate who had never run for office before, Donald Trump.
A week later, on July 20, 2015, everything had changed. Trump shot from being 8.5 points back to 3 points ahead of Bush. By the end of August, that lead was more than 20 points. Trump led the race the entire way after that, with the exception of a minute or two in November 2015, when rival Ben Carson briefly took a lead of 0.2 percentage points.
Trump had declared his candidacy, famously coming down the escalator, on June 16. That started a slow rise in his poll ratings, which was followed by a fast rise in his poll ratings. Trump's rapid ascent was attributable to his brash, entertaining style, his unprecedented ability to take control of a news cycle, and his willingness to speak frankly about one particular issue, immigration, that many Republican voters felt strongly about
This is from a Washington Post article on July 20, 2015, headlined, "Trump surges to big lead in GOP presidential race." In the piece, reporter Dan Balz noted that "Trump has dominated campaign news since he announced his candidacy. His comments about illegal immigrants have drawn strong responses, pro and con. ... Through nonstop media interviews and some high-profile appearances, including a big rally in Phoenix on July 11, he has drowned out his opponents."
Balz added that Trump's rivals had been "tentative in taking issue with his immigration comments." But they saw an opportunity and pounced when Trump famously counterattacked then-Sen. John McCain. It didn't work. "Trump has struck a chord with at least a part of the Republican electorate," Balz wrote, although it was not clear at that time just how big a part of the GOP electorate would come to support Trump.
In any event, this day eight years ago was the last day when a Reagan-Bush era Republican was measurably at the top of a Republican presidential contest. Now, another race is underway, with a renewed battle between Trump and old-style Republicanism — representatives of what might be called the Reagan-Bush-Romney-Ryan era GOP. The aftereffects of the change that took place in June and July of 2015 are still roiling Republican presidential politics.
8 min video
Panelists Byron York and Charlie Hurt break down former President Trump’s legacy on ‘Kudlow.’
Nothing has changed.
It's an abomination to lump Reagan in with the Bushes, Romney and Ryan.
Old GOP didn’t know that they were shambling Zombies and now we have Tucker driving stakes through their hearts at the town hall, one by one.
America as a “beacon of fairness and democracy.” Again irony is lost.
Agree one hundred percent.
What is without argument is that, since 2000, the national debt has increased from then until now by an additional $27 trillion dollars, well more than $1 trillion for each of the "Bushes, Romney and Ryan AND PELOSI AND OBAMA" administrations.
Trying to pin that on Reagan is offensive. And a lie.
See the interactive graph at: "Understanding the National Debt" in "inflation adjusted" numbers....
Byron York, astute observer of the Swamp, disagree with most of his conclusions, but this is well-stated.
It’s an abomination to lump Reagan in with the Bushes, Romney and Ryan.
Unfortunately it isn’t.
Financialization, deindustrialization, Hedge fund economics, Amnesty, mass immigraion, gun control, NeoCon foreign policy delusions, Messianic propositional citizenship.
Morning in America faded fast. But all of Reagan’s mistakes remain to this day.
And until nostalgic BoomerCons can see that, the Repubs are going to go thru endless return to the Swamp candidacies.
Every other current or former officeholder in this race except Trump represents Return to the Swamp - every single one.
Notice that many of them campaign on Reagan nostalgia. there is a reason for that.
“NeoCon foreign policy delusions”
Please give us some examples of Reagan’s Neocon foreign policy.
York thinks that’s a bad thing. He’s full establishment.
Notice now how he attaches Reagan to the Bush, McCain, Romney, Ryan pukes? Disgraceful.
Also, an interesting contrast of who was more for open borders.
neocon + open borders all wrapped up in one package.
“Reagan-Bush-Romney-Ryan era GOP.”
I take issue with that - Reagan does not belong in that group. Like Trump, Reagan was an America First populist - not a globalist.
Reagan didn’t ruffle the feathers of the establishment the way Trump does. Don’t forget a Bush was his Veep. Reagan’s objective was unifying the party from the start. He was not trying to overthrow anything.
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