If Russia wins, I think they’ll be reluctant to get froggy for a while.
Russia, if she wins, will be too busy re-building there “New Russia” and reconstructing their army and navy to think of more expansionism for at least five to seven years. They have a carrier to launch, and restoring relations with Germany and, yes, even Ukraine.
Or they may turn their attention to the countries that were supplying weapon. Maybe they’ll start giving weapons to terrorist that hate America.