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The 2024 election will be "fortified", BY THE REPUBLICANS, to defeat their own candidate.

I know it's late, and I know Trump wants that damn GOP nomination to show up McConnell, Romney, and the rest (It's not YOUR party, It's MINE!), but this is just the vanity of an old man because, bottom line, it IS their party and there is no alternative party organization to get rid of the old one.

The more I study Bonaparte, the more I see Trump's dilemma.

Charismatic, inspirational, enough followers to topple the government and even to wage war - but not enough to defeat, in the end, the Ancien Régime and its international allies.

If Trump were ever to return to power, and were to govern, he would either have to do so behind bayonets, or he would have to form a political movement that could sweep 5000 administrators and generals into power along with him to take out the trash permanently.

His enemies, united in Blue-Red coalition, know this perfectly well, which is why they act the way they do, why they fear him, even though they contained him so well the last time.

Trump as the GOP nominee MAKES NO SENSE. The GOP is made up of his enemies. Forcing them to nominate him DOES constitute "owning" them, showing them for the hollow men they are - but even if the Dem-GOP coalition fails to fix the election (and they won't), it will not bring the government this country needs to power.

A Trump inauguration as a "Republican" in 2025 will start an American Cent jours (Hundred days) which will end with assassination or exile.

Winning, this time, requires running AGAINST both parties (which Americans rightly hate), and Donald Trump has shown us nothing to suggest he can form a cross-party movement to drain the swamp.

There are green shoots (new life, not eco-nut) in both parties, that understand the situation (RFK jr, Tulsi, Tucker Carlson, MTG, Kris Kobach, etc). The two party system exists to suppress change. Time to make its destruction Job #1.

I am still a firm believer, and maybe it's the optimist in me, that that guy is going to show up unexpected from out of no where. We will know it when we see it.

And it won't be anyone we know now. Especially not Trump. He will have learned from Trump's rhetoric and the public's reaction to it (the people who matter) but he will have the energy, cunning and, most importantly, the ability to live with that level of danger and will be willing to lose it all for the movement (notice I don't say country, that's long dead). Trump lost a lot, but he wasn't willing to lose it all. Ironically, though, he may in the end.

The window, however, is narrow and closing quickly.

I think your post is right on. Trump has missed several chances to launch a MAGA Party (even informally, as a new faction) to pull in blue collar Democrats along with traditional conservatives. Now he will have to fight too hard to take the GOP's nomination and then immediately follow up with an even larger battle for the Presidency against both parties who will use the election fraud machines of the Five Lost Cities (Phoenix, Milwaukee, Detroit, Philadelphia, Atlanta) against him.

The only saving grace will be if Trump uses his candidacy - even in defeat - to shine an unbreakable spotlight on the two-party cabal and its machinations. He can do this better than any other candidate, but it will require him to correctly identify the enemy and go after them. I fear Trump has too much to lose (his companies) to make that many waves.