Posted on 04/05/2023 4:50:30 PM PDT by UMCRevMom@aol.com
Update from Ukraine | Crimea is the main Target | Ruzzia can't defend it
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eDzjhCsy150
****NEW SUMMARY Military MAPS & COMMENTS here:
Invasion Day 406 – Summary April 5, 2023 Jerome News
The summary of the situation of Russian re-invasion to Ukraine covering the last 48 hours, as of 2023 – 22:00 (Kyiv time).
https://militaryland.net/news/invasion-day-406-summary/
"Ukrainian Army forms new brigades" (Updated) https://militaryland.net/news/ukrainian-army-forms-new-brigades/
ARTICLE
Collapse and ‘fragmentation’ of Russia ‘already underway’, says Ukrainian official
Sian Elvin
4 Apr 2023 10:54 am
https://metro.co.uk/2023/04/04/ukraine-collapse-and-fragmentation-of-russia-already-underway-18551640/
The West needs to prepare for the aftermath of the collapse of Russia, a top Ukrainian government official warned.
Oleksi
Danilov, the secretary of Ukraine’s National Security and Defence Council, believes the break up of Russia has already started.
He told The Times: ‘The West doesn’t know Russia and the West is afraid of fragmentation in Russia. But this process is already underway.’
He added Kyiv believes Russia will fall apart in ‘spectacular’ fashion within the next few years.
‘It is a historic process and you can’t stop history,’ Mr Danilov added.
But he thinks China may attempt to take territory in Russia following the fallout – especially in Siberia, where there are significant Chinese populations.
‘Letting China take Russian territory will be dangerous for the West because by unlocking one problem they will create another. There needs to be initial steps by the West now.
China is a big country and will be a mighty rival to the Anglo-Saxon world. Now it’s the owner of Russia.
‘Russia will no longer undertake any important action without them. Russia fully lost its sovereignty. That’s a fact.’
Mr Danilov pointed to the fact that although Russian leader Vladimir Putin and Chinese president Xi Jinping declared friendship ‘without limits’ in their recent summit, China did not offer to provide weapons to the war effort.
He suggested the meeting in fact just demonstrated ‘weakness’ within the Kremlin.
He further claimed China was ‘acting in its own interest’ when refusing Western sanctions on purchasing Russian oil and gas, and thinks China’s hand has been strengthened by this.
The ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine seems to have come to a standstill recently, with the war centring around the city of Bakhmut, near the Donetsk region.
Neither side appear to be making significant gains, but the cracks are beginning to show following a leak of secret documents revealing Putin’s cyberwar tactics and two of his cronies were caught calling him a ‘dwarf’ and ‘Satan’ in a leaked recording.
Over the weekend Mr Danilov outlined the steps the Ukrainian government would take after the country reclaims control of Crimea, including dismantling the bridge linking the Black Sea peninsula to Russia.
Ukraine’s military is currently preparing for a spring counter-offensive in hopes of making new gains and ending the war, which has now continued for more than a year.
Ukraine ‘Ready’ To Give Up Crimea, Says Zelensky Advisor
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/ukraine-ready-give-crimea-says-zelensky-advisor
“No way will Russia give up Crimea. The people there don’t want Ukraine.”
Yes. And with Finland and Sweden joining NATO, basically surrounding the Baltic Sea with NATO members, you can bet that the Russian people will put a greater value on Crimea than ever before. You might even conclude they’d consider it’s loss an existential threat. Any serious effort to “liberate” the peninsula with US/NATO involvement would escalate this thing into a whole new danger zone. All to satisfy the Neocon warmongers’ appetite to do yet another of their brilliant regime changes (which, ironically, is exactly how we got into this mess).
You don’t have to read it. You can just scroll past it if it gives you the vapors.
Starting to look like praying for peace in Ukraine is praying that an incredibly stupid gambit fails. An assault on Crimea would be aggression. Stupid, blood-soaked aggression.
You know me. You know I’ve been warring against these modern neo-Soviets who have taken over Free Republic. You know I believe Putin must pay dearly enough that he never aggresses in Eastern Europe again. But would be downright vicious. Crimea is Russia. Always has been, always will be. There are almost NO ethnic Ukrainians. For Ukraine to invade Crimea would be as shocking as for German to reclaim Prussian lands from Poland.
I hope this bluster from Denys is nothign other than Ukraine playing for a better negotiated settlement. As in “Sure Russia, you get Crimea, but it’ll cost ya... You know, we might just be able to claim it back if you don’t agree.”
ARTICLE
“Russia cannot win against Europe when a Ukrainian and a Pole stand side by side, - Zelenskyy to MPs and representatives of Ukrainian and Polish public.” VIDEO
Source: https://censor.net/en/v3410378
06.04.23 00:20
On evening of April 5, President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyy and President of Republic of Poland Andrzej Duda spoke to Polish politicians and representatives of Ukrainian and Polish public.
FULL TEXT OF THE UKRAINIAN PRESIDENT’S SPEECH
“Greetings, Warsaw! Greetings, Poland! Great Polish people! Great Ukrainian people! Side by side here - united on this square, by the spirit of freedom, great history and glorious victory, which we are bringing closer together!
We know each other, Ukrainians and Poles, and have known each other for a long time. And now, in the heart of the Polish capital, Ukrainian hearts turn to each of the Polish hearts.
It is an honor for me to be here. I speak to you with words of gratitude and strength. Gratitude, because there are no such moments anymore when we would be divided, when we would not be united. Ukrainian and Polish hearts are fighting for one freedom, for the mutual independence of our states, for our native Europe - our common home, and we will be victorious!
Full text of the Ukrainian President’s speech: “Greetings, Warsaw! Greetings, Poland! Great Polish people! Great Ukrainian people! Side by side here - united on this square, by the spirit of freedom, great history and glorious victory, which we are bringing closer together!
We know each other, Ukrainians and Poles, and have known each other for a long time. And now, in the heart of the Polish capital, Ukrainian hearts turn to each of the Polish hearts.
It is an honor for me to be here. I speak to you with words of gratitude and strength. Gratitude, because there are no such moments anymore when we would be divided, when we would not be united. Ukrainian and Polish hearts are fighting for one freedom, for the mutual independence of our states, for our native Europe - our common home, and we will be victorious!
There is no such force that would prevail over the Ukrainian and Polish brotherhood. And this will make the following words come true:
“What a foreign force has taken from us, we shall take back with a saber.”
We will prevail, brothers, everywhere, on our side.
Every time the Ukrainian flag returns to its absolutely legal place on Ukrainian soil, and the Russian occupier flees, the Polish flag also gets stronger.
Yellow-blue and white-red - these four colors are stronger than the enemy’s tricolor.
Every successful battle of Ukrainian heroes for our independent state adds protection to Polish independence. Polish “Krabs” and “Pioruns” in the hands of Ukrainians, who return freedom to our people, reinforce your freedom as well.
This is what our ability, Ukrainians and Poles, to build our victorious history side by side means. And I am grateful for this brotherhood to every Pole!
Bow to you, Poland! Applause for you, Polish people!
I am grateful to you, friend Andrzej, Mr. President. To your wife Agata. I am honored to be here today with my wife.
Thank you, dear Mateusz, Mr. Prime Minister.
Thank you, Mrs. Marshal and Mr. Marshal.
To all Polish leaders here in Warsaw and everywhere in the communes, and to the people of Poland who know what our freedom means to your freedom. I am grateful to all of you who are now on this square and who hear me all over Poland!
Today, I was on Marszałek Piłsudski Square, next to the place where the words of a great man and a great Pole, John Paul II, were spoken in 1979. Turning to God, he said: “May Your Spirit descend and renew the face of the earth! Of this land!”
Today it is obvious how generous the Lord was when he heard these words.
Free Poland has risen and will never fall. Free Ukraine has risen and will never fall.
The foreign power, which sought to control our people and did not understand what we were striving for, simply fell apart. And we - we stand together! Side by side. Ukraine and Poland, and Europe, and the free world.
We stand when the full-scale forces of aggression are thrown again against our freedom. Well, this regime, which unleashed a war against us, will also fall. It brought graves to Ukraine, so that later he would bring graves again to Poland, and to all our brothers and sisters of free Europe. And we are fighting. Side by side!
It brought deportations to Ukrainians in order to deport others again, whose freedom breathes on the lands that Russia is going to steal. And we defend ourselves. Side by side!
The enemy wanted to bury our independence and to dissolve our national cultures in the Russian space. And we stand strong! You and us, Ukrainians and Poles, together, side by side, will return all this evil with an epitaph to Russian imperialism.
You and us, Poland, side by side will establish freedom in Europe forever. Tyranny will lose in history when it loses in Ukraine. Moscow will not kill, and Petersburg will not divide. Never again.
On this glorious square and on any other Polish square, as well as on all Ukrainian maidans, there will never be Russia again - after our victory.
Are there still many steps to it? No. It is only necessary not to stop in solidarity. When a battle requires artillery, it should be provided. When victory requires tanks, their roar must be heard on the frontline. When independence needs air, you shouldn’t pay attention to how Russia will react to our planes, you shouldn’t guess which number will look safer next to the letter F - 16 or some other. You should take action!
Take action in the same way as your leadership manifested itself in the tank coalition, I believe that it will also manifest itself in the aviation coalition. Because this is a battle for freedom, and it is impossible to win it partially.
When our ally, a powerful ally of freedom, President Biden spoke in Warsaw recently, he said: “There is no sweeter word than freedom. There is no nobler goal than freedom. There is no higher aspiration than freedom.”
We, Ukrainians and Poles, are well aware of this. Therefore, there is no such issue between us that we will not solve in order to strengthen our common defense. Therefore, this visit of mine, negotiations here in Warsaw, became another step towards victory. And I thank you for the decisions approved today! For a powerful defense package. Thank you for the lives that we save with our solidarity together!
Dear Polish people! I am sure you know that solidarity now covers much more than the fate of our two peoples. When you and us are free, it is a guarantee that freedom will be strong in all our countries - neighbors in the European Union. Romania and Slovakia, Lithuania and other Baltic countries... Everyone is stronger when we are free. When we are free, it is a guarantee that freedom will endure in Moldova, will not leave Georgia and will come... will definitely come to Belarus.
The more freedom we have around us, the more guarantees justice will have. That our common enemy will be held to account. Will be held to account justly - for Bykivnia and Bucha, for Katyn and Smolensk. Will be held to account to the end of his life here on earth, and forever before God.
Justice will be the historical achievement of our generations, and the way is also paved by our brotherhood. By Ukrainians and Poles walking side by side.
Polish brothers and sisters! Just a few generations ago, everything on which our power is now based was just a task.
Jerzy Giedroyc taught that “there is no independent Poland without an independent Ukraine.” This is learned.
And I would continue: Russia cannot win in Europe when a Ukrainian and a Pole stand side by side. Let’s learn it.
And just as you and us, Poland, stand together in this war, we will also enjoy peace. Together! Side by side in everything. Together in the European Union, together in NATO. This is the continuation of our destiny of free nations!
We must bolster the historical understanding between our peoples with everything. Everything! Everything that we have to solve for the interests and peace of our societies must be solved. From military and political, economic and energy cooperation to the painstaking work of historians.
When we accept that human life is the highest value, we honor the memory and dignity of every person. Everyone who lived before us. Everyone who requires respect. And there should be no prohibitions here... It is our mutual and absolute respect that will bring Ukrainian and Polish culture to the world. Always! Because we were saved forever by our unity, our resolve.
Dear Rzeszów! I thank you for becoming the first rescuer city for Ukraine!
Przemyśl! Lublin! Chełm! Thank you! For reaching out to our people at a time when it was most needed!
Gdańsk and Wrocław! Katowice and Białystok! Kraków and Warsaw! Every city in Poland that has become so hospitable to our people! I thank you!
Thank you for the fact that Ukrainian children in Poland can live in respect, and Ukrainian adults received a law from the Polish state that guarantees them the same rights and opportunities that your people have!
Thank you to everyone who trains Ukrainian soldiers on Polish soil!
And I thank every Polish heart that speaks its prayers for Ukrainians as well!
Dear Ukrainians in Poland! We work every day to expel the enemy from Ukraine, to restore security to all our cities and villages, so that our people who have found refuge in other countries can return home.
And I thank all of you who help the state!
Dear Poles! All Europeans!
I wish you happy upcoming Easter holidays! And I wish everyone a victory of life over aggression, a victory in the battles that are taking place now in Ukraine!
Glory to all our warriors who are fighting for our freedom!
Слава Україні!
Chwała Polsce!
VIDEO: Speech of the president to Polish politicians and representatives of the public of Ukraine and Poland.
Office of the President of Ukraine
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m8gm2rdmLeg
Ukraine ‘Ready’ To Give Up Crimea, Says Zelensky Advisor
———-
They gave it up years ago. Vlad turned the Crimea into one of the fastest growing economies in Europe, a huge success story. Many Russians emigrated there, hint: Vlad and the Russian citizens are not giving it up- ever, get used to it.
ARTICLE ALERT
STATE BUREAU: Russia’s FSB appointed traitors to SSU leadership and dismissed General Baranetskyi / Yuriy Butusov. VIDEO
Video Censor.NET War in Ukraine
https://censor.net/en/video_news/3410322/state_bureau_russias_fsb_appointed_traitors_to_ssu_leadership_and_dismissed_general_baranetskyi_yuriy
Intelligence and subversive activities against Ukraine, placement of “their people” in various state and law enforcement agencies. Investigation completed: SSU and State Bureau of Investigations released new evidence of Kulinich’s cooperation with Russian FSB.
Who supervised former head of SSU Main Directorate in Crimea? What happened to Bakanov and how did Russian FSB lobby for dismissal of Baranetsky from his position as Deputy Head of SSU and appointment of Naumov in his place?
This is what we will discuss live with Yurii Butusov, editor-in-chief of Censor.NET. Source: https://censor.net/en/v3410322
VIDEO
GBR: FSB of the Russian Federation appointed traitors to the leadership of the SBU and dismissed general Baranetsky 05.04.2023
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tBn0xCi1kjw
Truly— anyone ever hear of Sebastopol? Emminently defendable... but they won’t be defending it from ukes.. they will attack overwhelmingly w/out regard to the numbers.
I hope you understand Russia is one of the top ten counties that have the highest rate of human trafficking.
For all those uninformed the practice where individuals are trafficked from one country to the other is basically for the purpose of either forced labor, or sexual labor or commercial sex practices.
Crimea has been a center used by Russian Federation for all types of smuggling: human trafficking and smuggling of weapons, narcotics, and other contraband.
If you really believe Russia can’t defend crimea, you’re the stupidest bot ever programmed.
It’d be Stalingrad 2.0
Catherine the Great says Crimea stays with Russia.
I don’t read any of her Ukraine propaganda. I am free to post my opinion.
Her nightly Ukraine Propaganda Thread is NOT an Ukraine Sanctuary Thread.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZsfDGx-0Uko
Russia Controls 85% Bakhmut, Missile Strikes, Rumours Kiev Counterattack, MSM Ukraine Morale Falling
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0t-ljobOzfk&t=1s
They’ve held it for how many years but they “can’t defend it?”
Post something at least marginally credible.
The other side posts stuff from pedophiles and “colonels” who make these same sorts of ridiculous propaganda claims for Russia that always turn out to be wrong and then we have this being posted which is propaganda for Ukraine. That stuff shouldn’t be posted and neither should stuff like this. Let’s at least try to be interested in the truth around here.
Crimea is a potential logistic trap, if the attacker is well supplied with modern precision missiles. The new GLSDB (fired from HIMARS) will do for the purpose. It has no land based logistic routes nor sufficient internal roads/highways. It’s ports are all small, other than Sebastopol, and that is in easy range of enemy systems north of Perekop.
The one bridge would be in easy range of GLSDB from the Melitopol area, much like the bridges over the Dneiper were to GMLRS.
It could easily turn into another Kherson bridgehead situation.
That is the technical military analysis.
Ukraine hasn’t previously been supplied with the means to interdict Crimea - that is, interdict it’s transport routes and cut off its supplies. But Ukraine (maybe) has these means now.
This of course depends on two things -
1. A Ukrainian advance to Melitopol, the Azov coast, and on to Perekop, ideally. This would put Ukrainians in range of all of Crimea.
2. A large supply (hundreds of missiles) of the GLSDB variant for the HIMARS systems. These would be used as the GMLRS were at Kherson. They can break the bridge and keep it broken, as well as wreck any vessels attempting to unload at any Crimean port. Russia has limited shipping available in the Black Sea.
And destroy any internal Crimean road targets, bridges, culverts, overpasses, etc., as well as ammo dumps, vehicle parks, fuel supplies, etc. That all could be protected by dispersal, but the effect on logistic efficiency would still be dramatic.
The Russians found no answer to this last year at Kherson, and I doubt they will have one should the scenario above come to pass.
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