Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Ukraine’s Counteroffensive Will Start in Two Months, Zelensky’s Aide Says
Kyiv Post ^ | March 10, 2023

Posted on 03/10/2023 11:21:50 AM PST by Renfrew

click here to read article


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-72 last
To: lump in the melting pot
"So you’d be ok with Mexico taking back its breakaway Texas, because 230 years ago, it was all Mexico?..."

I am perfectly ok with Mexico trying to take back Texas as long as they are willing to risk the retaliation.

61 posted on 03/10/2023 3:46:05 PM PST by wildcard_redneck (Biden will mess up the Ukraine worse than Afghanistan.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 60 | View Replies]

To: lump in the melting pot
Please focus on our Southern border.

Thank you.

19 posted on 03/10/2023 12:04:37 PM PST by JonPreston

62 posted on 03/10/2023 4:00:25 PM PST by JonPreston
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 58 | View Replies]

To: Renfrew

Zelensky says that its tough finding busloads of children singing happy songs...thats why it’ll take two months.


63 posted on 03/10/2023 4:01:43 PM PST by Mashood
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: JonPreston

Please keep repeating inane non-sequiturs.

Thank you.


64 posted on 03/10/2023 5:02:56 PM PST by lump in the melting pot (Believe nothing until it is denied by the Kremlin)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 62 | View Replies]

To: lump in the melting pot

You got it, lump.


65 posted on 03/10/2023 5:10:49 PM PST by JonPreston
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 64 | View Replies]

To: Timber Rattler
YUkraine didn't take back Kherson, you dim wit.

Russia withdrew from Kherson city west of the Dnieper river because it didn't want to bother defending it all while inflicting massive causalities on the Ukrainians.

And, this is the best example you have of Ukrainian win?

Ukraine hasn't won a single battle against the regular Russian army. And, it has been losing to the militias of the DPR, LPR, Chechens and Wagner group.

This is why you have to dish out insults because you can never defend the propaganda from the Biden regime you're spewing.

66 posted on 03/10/2023 5:35:38 PM PST by Kazan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 55 | View Replies]

To: Renfrew

Well we will just have to cash in our 401k’s and make sure that never happens!


67 posted on 03/10/2023 5:52:06 PM PST by norsky ( <P> <a href= > </a> <P><img src=" "width=600"></img>)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Kazan
YUkraine didn't take back Kherson, you dim wit.

Rigggght....

'We feel free, we are not slaves, we are Ukrainians': Ukraine takes back Kherson from Russian forces

Ukraine hasn't won a single battle against the regular Russian army. Rigggght....

Ukraine troops upbeat on repelling Russia’s assault>

Ukraine's offensive in Kharkiv was hard and bitter, say soldiers who did the fighting

Ukraine retakes a key city Putin claimed to have annexed. Here's why it matters.

How Ukraine Gained Momentum Against Russia and Took a Critical Hub

68 posted on 03/10/2023 7:09:49 PM PST by Timber Rattler ("To hold a pen is to be at war." --Voltaire)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 66 | View Replies]

To: Renfrew
https://sonar21.com/how-could-western-intelligence-have-got-it-wrong-again-they-didnt-they-had-other-purposes/

Larry Johnson, an ex-CIA analyst, writes “I no longer hold clearances and have not had access to the classified intelligence assessments. However, I have heard that the finished intelligence being supplied to U.S. policymakers continues to declare that Russia is on the ropes – and their economy is crumbling. Also, analysts insist that the Ukrainians are beating the Russians”.

Johnson responds that – lacking valid human sources – “western agencies are almost wholly dependent today on ‘liaison reporting’” (i.e., from ‘friendly’ foreign intelligence services), without doing ‘due diligence’ by cross-checking discrepancies with other reporting.

In practice, this largely means western reporting simply replicates Kiev’s PR line. But there does occur a huge problem when marrying Kiev’s output (as Johnson says) to UK reports – for ‘corroboration’.

The reality is UK reporting itself is also based on what Ukraine is saying. This is known as false collateral – i.e., when that which is used for corroboration and validation actually derives from the same single source. It becomes – deliberately – a propaganda multiplier.

###

So, it’s ‘goodbye’ to traditional Intelligence! And ‘welcome’ to western Intelligence 101: Geo-Politics no longer revolves around a grasp on Reality. It is about the installation of ideological pseudo-realism – which is the universal installation of a singular groupthink, such that everyone lives passively by it, until it is far too late to change course.

###

If that were the purpose (to acclimatise Russians to defeat and ultimate Balkanisation), Western propaganda has not only failed, but it has achieved the converse. Russians have coalesced closely together against an existential western threat – and are prepared to ‘go to the wall’, if necessary, in defeating it. (Let those implications sink in.)

###

Another ‘own goal’: The West now faces the task of de-fusing the landmine of their own electorate’s conviction of a Ukraine ‘win’, and of Russian humiliation and decomposition. There will be anger and further distrust for the Élites in the West to follow. Existential risk ensues when people believe nothing the élites say.

###

Neo-con claws tear at anyone gain-saying their ‘line’ – and think-tanks employ an army of ‘analysts’ to turn out ‘academic’ reports suggesting that Russia’s industry – to the extent it exists at all – is imploding. Since last March, western military and economic experts have been regularly-as-clockwork, predicting that Russia has run out of missiles, drones, tanks and artillery shells – and is expending its manpower throwing human-waves of untrained troops upon the Ukrainian siege lines.

The logic is plain, but again flawed. If a combined NATO struggles to supply artillery shells, Russia with the economy the size of a small EU state (logically) must be worse off. And if only we (the U.S.) threaten China hard enough against supplying Russia,then the latter will ultimately run out of munitions – and NATO supported Ukraine ‘will win’.

The logic then is that a war prolonged (until the money runs out) must deliver a Russia bereft of munitions, and NATO-supplied Ukraine ‘wins’.

This framing is entirely wrong because of conceptual differences: Russian history is one of Total War that is fought in a long, ‘all-out’, uncompromising engagement against an overwhelming peer force. But inherent to this idea, is its all-important grounding in the conviction that such wars are fought over the course of years, with their outcomes conditioned by the capacity to surge military production.

Conceptually, the U.S. shifted in the 1980s away from its post-war military-industrial paradigm, to off-shore manufacturing to Asia and to ‘just-in-time’ supply lines. Effectively, the U.S. (and the West) shifted in the opposite direction to ‘surge capacity’, whereas Russia did not: It kept alive the notion of sustainment which had contributed to saving Russia during the Great Patriotic War.

69 posted on 03/10/2023 8:52:52 PM PST by Kazan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

That would make it early May. The spring thaw is still going then. The land will not be dry enough. Unless maybe in Crimea it will be dry enough.


70 posted on 03/10/2023 9:49:59 PM PST by rxh4n1
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: kiryandil

Curious what has the “second greatest” military been driving for the past year?

Seems like a clown car would be an upgrade


71 posted on 03/11/2023 4:27:19 AM PST by blitz128
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: wardamneagle

You might recall that the Ukrainians broadcast a coming offensive to the south in the summer and the Russians bought it hook line and sinker and proceeded to loose the north
The fact that a small “clown car driving” military actually stopped the Russians, pushed them back on many fronts, destroyed thousands of pieces of equipment, and tens of thousands of causalities, held against the full “might” if the Russian forces for months, forced the Russians to mobilize hundreds of thousands, should give you some pause as to their strategic and opsec capabilities


72 posted on 03/11/2023 4:33:42 AM PST by blitz128
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-72 last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson