“I don’t care much about the age thing. But yes, you are right about Trump killing his chances with the suburban soccer moms.”
So that’s the accepted wisdom now? What is that assertion based on? Trump got 12 million more votes in 2020 than he did in 2016. Did this supposed loss of suburban soccer moms occur before 2020 or after?
In 2016, Trump won the suburbs 47-45 (with Men voting +10% for Trump, women +8% for HRC). In 2020, Biden won Suburbs 54-43%, or a 13% swing in total. Most of that swing D came from suburban women, with just a small piece suburban men. Trump actually did better in Rural (7% swing) and better urban (12% swing) in 2020 than 2016 but suburban vote was huge in 2020, and again, suburban women voted 2:1 for Biden.
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Since the 2020 election, it's only continued to get worse. The only chance Trump would have to win the general in 2024 would be if suburbs just stayed home - perhaps a chance for that if the economy is in the tubes - but that would mean virtually any R candidate would win. Desantis would probably win 47 states in that scenario.