“There’s other recent polls showing similar results.”
Monmouth polls? Really? Please do some research on the HISTORY of the ACCURACY of Monmouth polls wrt to Presidential Elections. Primaries and the General. While you are at it research Monmouth’s political leanings.
I was just looking at that., as polls can be all over the place of course.
In 2016, they had Clinton ahead by 6, but collapsing down from 18, so they were correctly identifying the trend:
https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_us_110716/
In 2020, they had Biden ahead by 4, which was the final result:
https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_fl_102920/
In 2022, they had Fetterman beating Oz:
https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_pa_110222/
Warnock beating Walker:
https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_ga_102622/
I didn’t see where they ran any polls for Kari Lake or JD Vance, but if you have any examples of where they may have been off recently please share.