Posted on 01/31/2023 5:52:21 PM PST by Nextrush
@arbinot_jim Oh, Peking will build its forces to outmatch those of the USA and then encourage and pressure Taiwan to "request" reunion with the PRC. Ultimately Washington won't risk war fur Taiwan, or Japan. The contrasting obsession with decrepit Russia is weird
You really love Russia and China don’t you?
I do TikTok videos and buy clothes from Schein...NOT
.
He does.
Good luck with that, Chicoms.
“The contrarian opinion of Peter Hitchens. The obsession with Russia and Ukraine now and China ends up winning later down the road?”
Sure seems that way - at a minimum, China has 5 years to sail the Seven Seas and take what they want - since it will take the West that long to train Drag Queens to manufacture munitions.
Do you ever add anything of substance to a post?
Tell us about your nine children. Did you give birth to all of them?
Sanctions against China by the US and everyone else who will go along with it will quickly starve China of its cash flow and it will be over. JMHO
Sanctions that killed their foreign trade would be half of China’s problem. The other half is 60% of their oil comes from the Persian Gulf through the easily blockaded Straits of Malacca.
The bottom line is China can’t take Taiwan without permission from the USA. Xi Jinping has been a disastrous leader. His power play against Hong Kong has killed any chance of peaceful reunification with Taiwan. And seizing Taiwan by force would lead to the economic destruction of China.
Oh, well good for Taiwan - they will be “liberated” by China per the logic of some around here.
Actually, in a sense supplying the Ukies has forced us to recognize shortcomings in our munitions supply chains. Among other things, $2 billion has been appropriated to upgrade and expand by 500% our 155 mm artillery munitions production (including a new plant in TX) in the next 2 years. Further “investment” in munitions production (not yet all appropriated by Congress) comes to another $13 billion, IIRC.
Mind the reader that this is not money for ammo purchases, it is for production capability.
Additionally there is always the burgeoning South Korean arms industry to supply munitions if push comes to shove, though of course it makes more sense to produce the stuff here if at all possible. And then in the bigger picture we have countries like Poland, who (Poland) are not only buying in bulk from the US and South Koreans, they are structuring their purchases so that a great deal of their gear and ammo gets produced in Poland.
Further, as has been hashed out here on FR, very little of what we would need in a conflict over Taiwan is being sent to Ukraine, and conversely, most of what has been sent would not be very useful in such a defense. We are not sending to Ukraine any of our best stuff, and moreover, a war to defend Taiwan would be mostly an air and sea affair. (There is a new [successfully tested] naval variant of the M777 / M777-ER with a shell that will maneuver and home in on fast moving surface seacraft — definitely hell on invasion fleet landing craft), but, again, none are going to Ukraine, nor are they needed, as Ukraine already has other and better options to hit the occasional Russian frigate or what have you.
Taiwan wants some HIMARS, but not a lot, the quantity of HIMARS we have sent to Ukraine is ridiculously small, and there is, again, a pretty good South Korean equivalent that Taiwan can tap.
Defense contractors and their friends will of course always argue “more is needed”, but real needs should be carefully evaluated: There is considerable danger in an oversupply of weapons, even to nominal “friends”.
Read later.
I concur. China has put itself in a very poor position to advance territorialy, especially with its population issues.
The US is also failing gradually all the while.
“Actually, in a sense supplying the Ukies has forced us to recognize shortcomings in our munitions supply chains.”
The US and Europe literally WIPING OUT their military capability and destroying their economies while Russia hums along has shown the STUPIDY in the Neocons and just how DANGEROUS they are.
But yes, for sure, I’ve been worried non-stop since Francis Fukuyama declared THE END OF HISTORY...meaning that wars were a 20th century (and prior) ‘construct’ and that Peace and Love would dominate the future - because OBVIOUSLY US and European leaders believed that...but Russia and China simply SALIVATED and militarized. Like others here, I called our horrible condition from the start.
“Do you ever add anything of substance to a post?”
I keep you busy so that’s something.
Awe.
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