“Which means they won’t.”
They’d be nuts to join in this fight.
I think this is a bluff to get Ukraine to redeploy some of its assets.
Well, we support a Romanian non-profit that shelters Russian men who are avoiding conscription. It keeps these men off the battlefield.
If Russia and Belarus can manage the same with a feint then it’s not a bad tactic.
But if Belarus actually invades into Ukraine then Minsk is a fair target and it’s in range of several Ukrainian weapons systems. I can’t imagine the people of Belarus want their cities attacked all so Putin can stroke his own ego.