[Bayard]

I’m going to guess Germany had stockpiled enough and the winter turned out mild enough for Europe to Eek out a safe transition.

Since LNG situation is going to be handled with this much time lag in Europe, I think Russia lost every card gambit they have besides, Nukes or a successful but bloody victory in Ukraine.

Russia now has to kill as many Ukrainians as possible to survive as a Nation, barring the West and Ukraine actually sitting down to a peace agreement.

That is just facts at this point.

[alexander_busek]

I’m going to guess Germany had stockpiled enough and the winter turned out mild enough for Europe to Eek eke out a safe transition.

The "transition" is far from complete, but you are otherwise generally correct in your assessment.

Regards,

[alexander_busek]

Russia now has to kill as many Ukrainians as possible to survive as a Nation, barring the West and Ukraine actually sitting down to a peace agreement.

The West and Ukraine "sitting down to a peace agreement negotiation" at this time would be tantamount to initiating peace talks with Hitler shortly before his suicide in the Führerbunker.

Putin has namely made it clear that any "peace agreement" he will sign has to effectively reward him for launching his unprovoked attack against peaceful Ukraine.

You can't negotiate with someone having that attitude.

Regards,