Your ignorance of the subject is astounding.
The Budapest Memorandum was an agreement signed by Bill Clinton, carrying the full force of his personal assurances. It was never even submitted to the US Senate and it was nearly universally derided there.
While Russia is likely to continue to march to Moldova, the Baltics are something they will not take on. They have a hard enough time with Ukraine.
Your allusions to the Domino Theory are delusions.
Unlike yourself, China does not make national decisions based on emotions. They KNOW they do not have the capability to occupy Taiwan, so they will not try.
If they had the ability, Ukraine would not deter them.
All three of your arguments do not stand the test of logic.
Unlike yourself, China does not make national decisions based on emotions. They KNOW they do not have the capability to occupy Taiwan, so they will not try.
2035, when they have 5-6 carrier groups and 6-10 landing helicopter docs is different than today. But even now China could take Taiwan, provided the US did not intervene. And even if we did, we would suffer heavy casualties to win, if we do win. https://www.brookings.edu/blog/order-from-chaos/2022/06/01/but-can-the-united-states-defend-taiwan/
To defeat China, we would need the support of Japan, Australia, the Philippines, and Singapore. Pressure from India would be very helpful. All of these countries have good reasons to defect to China or go neutral. We have an alliance and unofficial alliances, because countries trust us.