“I wouldn’t bet a nickel either way on him being the nominee.”
A nickel won’t get you much. Bet the house. Neither he, nor Harris will be on the democrat ticket for ‘24.
However....Heels Up Harris won't go quietly. And it seems to me that other than "you're stupid" and "you're an affirmative action hire" they have nothing they could throw at her that would sway the Maoist wing (that is,the mainstream) of the Party faithful. And she can claim "I've made history once...I can do it again".