The first problem is that the votes aren’t there. If you didn’t see a massive swing away from the Democrats this year, you won’t see much of one in 2024, especially if Trump is a factor. Split the Republican vote and the Democrats win hands down.
Secondly, Trump will be 78 in two years. If the Democrats don’t nominate Biden again, having a younger nominee will win them points with voters who don’t want another eighty-year old president.
Third, Theodore Roosevelt’s 1912 run looks like an ego trip or peevishness. People will think the same thing about Trump, especially if his behavior doesn’t shape up.
Fourth, a third party run concedes the GOP to the GOPe. It won’t go away and neither will they. I’ll vote for Trump if he runs, but don’t want him to split the vote and throw the election to the Democrats.
If not Trump then who?
Believe me, if there is anyone out there, I’m all ears. But outside of DeSantis, who I really don’t think wants to run, what else is there?
Well put!
There’s another albatross that will be hung around Trump’s neck if he runs - Operation Warp Speed. As time goes on more and more will be coming out about how full of risk the vaccine developments were. That risk was never adequately communicated. Heck let’s just admit it wasn’t communicated at all! That will be blamed on Trump! Any Rat or Rat crony role will be conveniently forgotten. Trump has to find a way to walk back his cheerleading! It will be hard for him.
I don't want this to sound mean but there is ONLY the GOP e. They ALLOW a certain number of reformists to exist but they never have real power. They allow them because that way they get people to keep voting for them.