2020 is over. GOP lost. All Republicans won easily statewide in Georgia this year except Hershel Walker who is actually behind but close enough to force a run off. The wild card is Trump. We cannot win in ‘24 if Dems can run against Trump. He’s as unpopular in exit polls as Biden.
He might be the reason Lake is behind. He also sat on his Save America PAC money. Arizona turn out looks soft, under 50%.
I’d say there are several points or problems right now.
Trump’s price was that he unified opposition against him.
Republicans are also not very unified. We’re in bickering mode.
Democrats and Republicans have an old guard who are committed to status quo because the bureaucracy (Deep State) wants to be able pick winners.
We had a year with issues Democrats run hard messages on, while Republicans in many purple states floundered, they also ran some poor candidates.
Just my few takes here.
That means only path to victory is through Nevada, where fraud is also quite possibly, North Carolina and Georgia. But, only in Georgia if the Republican establishment approves the candidate.
In other words, there isn't a chance a conservative can win the Presidency.