They won’t all lose... but a lot of them will.
But every single district where dems won last time by 15 or less, expect most of those to go GOP, and don’t be surprised if a lot of districts where democrats won by more than that in 2020 to lose as well...
I know folks have called me overly optimistic, but my predictions way back from early this year, were, GOP pickup in the house of 80ish seats, and if the wind blows just right they could flirt with triple digit pickups.
Senate 43-45
We will see where the day plays out, but after 9 or 10 months I still feel comfortable by those numbers.
Not only that, but its going to go all the way down the ballot... GOP are going to win in places NO ONE is even talking about, or think are in “trouble” for the dems.
Its clear, at this point that the election is going to purely be a repudiation of the democrats from top to bottom... Candidate quality doesn’t matter, policy stands don’t matter... its just going to be a lambasting... that I believe will make 1994 and 2010 look tame by comparison.
The payback for the covid lock downs, the theft of 2020, the absolute economic and other failures of the illegitimate administration and their party, pushing boys into girls locker rooms, murders being set free to kill again, DA’s refusing to prosecute crimnals... etc etc etc are all aligning to create a tsunami the likes of which I don’t think I’ve witnessed in my lifetime.
I said it before the primary was even finished in PA... if the GOP takes the PA senate race, its going to be an absolute bloodbath for the Democrats.... the candidate quality there is so abysmal that if either of the GOP primary leaders were to win the general, its purely because the electorate is just going to repudiate democrats... now this was before the Democrat had a stroke which clearly affected the ability for the democrats to campaign like they normally would, so it moved the bar some, but it didn’t change the absolute crap quality of the GOP candidates... PA is the bellweather... if they win the Senate race with the turd they are running, this election is full on nothing more than the rejection of the D party up and down the ballot.
Races where candidate quality give the D’s wins will be the exception not the rule.
Just out of curiousity....did you think Trump would lose in 2020?
To me there is one number that tells the story.
When the Commander in Cheat Bidet was sworn in January,2021 the official annual inflation rate was 1.4%.
Today that number is over 8%.
There is no “pro inflation” vote out there.
;-)
There are a couple of other issues that will doom Democrats—Internet censorship by their Big Tech “friends” is one. I have never met anyone who wants to be censored.
Vaxx mandates—while most submitted and obeyed a significant subset of voters is still angry and wants somebody to pay for their dehumanization and humiliation. Nobody likes to be treated like cattle.
Senate should be 53-55 for the GOP.. not sure why I hit the 4 there.
On top of that, you have embarrassingly inept people in our White House who seem more concerned about sex changes to our children and other nonsense than anything else.
Without cheating, this will be a red wave of epic proportion. The Democrats deserve to lose 100+ seats.