Sounds like Dizzy Miss Lizzie’s RAT campaign isn’t working out.
Won’t GA and WI make it 51? +2, with -1 from PA.
WI, PA and OH are holds, not gains. AZ and NV would be gains and flip the senate. Any other gains would be a blessing.
Cook is not awful and wants to retain credibility. 4 days out is enough time for them to say they had it right. Conclusion: GOP takes majorities in both house and senate, now the only unknown is by how much.
According to RCP, Republicans hold or the race is safe or leading toward the Republican candidate, meaning they need three of WI, GA, NV, PA, AZ, NH, WA or CO, which are all considered tossups by RCP.
According to RCP, Republicans hold or the race is safe or leading toward the Republican candidate, meaning they need three of WI, GA, NV, PA, AZ, NH, WA or CO, which are all considered tossups by RCP.
Its amazing how far behind these political experts are on things like this. They are supposed to be ahead of the curve. This shift is about a week or two behind the curve.
Devil’s Advocate here: The Cook report has been bashed to death in previous election cycles for being very wrong as I can remember but correct me if I am wrong. What makes the Cook report now being sort of a gold standard - is it because it is favorable to the GOP or is there substantial evidence that can show that the Cook report this cycle is dependable?
Hold PA and win any one of GA, AZ, NV or NH.
yeah, I have us with a minimum of 51 seats in the Senate, with the possibility of MANY more.
Keep your eyes on Washington state too.
538 has Republican control of the Senate at 55% to 45% for the Democrats.
If the Republicans win control, the most likely outcome is 52 Republican Senators.
Anything between 48 to 54 Republican Senators seems to be within the possible polling errors.
The House is a much likelier win with anything between 220 and 240 Republicans being the likeliest outcomes.
Net result is a House narrowly controlled by Republicans and a Senate that is pretty gridlocked with either Republican or Democratic control, especially considering that a number of Senators in both parties don’t respond to party discipline.
Wow, the Dem internal polls must be really bad
WI is solid R. NV appears to be gone to the Repubs. That’s 50.
We need 1 of GA, PA, or AZ to get to 51.
But i predict we get to 54 seats, minimum. NH, GA, PA, AZ going red.
We also need that c### Murkowski to lose so we have one less RINO. Don’t let us down Alaska
Abortion was never an issue to anyone but the lunatics
Who vote rat anyway
We will see. Cook is biased. In 2020 they predicted a dim party pickup, yet the GOP won like 14 seats. IIRC, it was like a 25 seat miss.