Posted on 10/25/2022 9:16:14 AM PDT by SaxxonWoods
US Treasuries Yield Curve. An app for exploring historical interest rates.
(Excerpt) Read more at ustreasuryyieldcurve.com ...
Hi.
Unfortunately you are probably correct.
FRED has this info too.
5.56mm
The 2yr and 10yr yields have been inverted for some time now. I hear some say, that is a sign of recession. Others say it’s the 3yr and 10yr yields inverted. That is only recent. Looking at the chart, everything 6mon and greater is inverted to the 10yr. In layman’s terms, it is more risky to lend in the short term because the economy sucks.
Thanks.
“In layman’s terms, it is more risky to lend in the short term because the economy sucks.”
Thanks.
I take it to mean that longer term rates are expected to drop as we work through the current and proceeding economic contraction which still has work to do.
Correct, in a couple years or a decade, maybe.
Yes, we are in a recession and it will continue thru 2023. In fact, I think next year will be pretty bad as people pay high heating costs and food costs and more. There is always a lag and we still haven’t seen the fallout from the corporate real estate market as companies drastically cut space as leases mature.
Core PCE report on Friday. Per Zerohedge, economists expect the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation to rise by 30bps to 5.2%.
Yes, we are in a recession and it will continue thru 2023.
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Agree. Excesses have to be corrected. It will take time.
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