[Robert357]

You forgot the and signs. Seriously, China has an incredible financial problem that is extremely widespread. First, there is a housing financial crisis that is destroying many middle and upper class families. Second, the Covid shutdowns have destroyed the jobs of countless workers. Many workers from rural farming areas went to the big cities to get jobs, they got jobs and then the factories were closed for Covid and they had no money for housing or food. The concept of the tail wagging the dog, comes to mind. A nice military war would divert a lot of attention away from the domestic crisis and would also justify harsh military law to prevent a revolution. The Chinese military has no qualms about killing civilians. They have no qualms with kidnapping people to try them in mainland China. What Taiwan has going for it is that is where much of the wealth in China is concentrated. It is also where many of the people who own the factories responsible for China’s economic miracle growth live. Taiwan is also armed to the teeth and its rich factory owners have friends in governments all over the world. I honestly think that China would have invaded Taiwan already to distract its population from the financial problems. I suspect that with Russia being on the world’s Sh#t-list and the economic sanctions being imposed, that China is having second thoughts that an invasion would (1) make things worse economically with sanctions and (2) Russia and its nuclear weapons would not back up their much fewer nuclear threat to destroy the west if they interfere in the invasion of Taiwan.

[wannabegeek]

Chicom to conquer Taiwan soon?  I don't know.  Me think ain't gonna happen soon.  It will be big disaster for tiny Taiwan and the giant mainland China economically, the whole Asian region will be on fire.  Forget about USA but if Chicom would really try to invade Taiwan, it ignite in to big war throughout Asia, i.e., Japan, nuclear armed India, Australia, and Philippines.  Yes, Taiwan is armed to the teeth and they're prepared to die fighting than onslaught by the communists.  I don't know if Taiwan's swarm of Yun Feng long range cruise missiles with neutron/nuke warheads, swarm of F-CK fighter bombers with neutron/nuclear bombs, and F-16s with neutron/nuclear bombs can pulverize their strategic targets in mainland China to get even?

[PIF]

A nice military war would divert a lot of attention away from the domestic crisis and would also justify harsh military law to prevent a revolution

—
And there is the wrinkle in the plan - China has no social services, no social security, no medicare or medicaid - no social safety net of any sort.

Men join the various branched of the PLA because there are no jobs where they live, they use their paychecks to support their families - which otherwise have no other sources of income and because supporting their families is a cultural imperative.

Now imagine a high casualty rate in that invasion, what do you think will happen internally?

The domestic crisis not would look like nothing - te one now threatens the existence of the Party as infallible, the crisis brought on by dead soldiers would destroy the Party.

An that must be avoided at all costs, as the number one priority of the Party is to protect itself.

If China invades anyone anywhere it will be in Siberia at the Amur River, site of two prior invasions.