Any bets on whether there was a new affirmative action hire in the modeling group?
But Global Warming models don’t suffer from such problems. Got it!
But they can predict Climate Change.
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Models are always an abstraction of reality. Treat them for what they are.
If you looked at the satellite picture of cloud patterns you would have seen the cold front over northern Florida. It was obvious that Ian was going to turn N.E. bfore Tampa while they were forecasting a landfall at Tampa Bay.
In other words the science failed us.
Assorted Prostitutes explains nothing, they just repeat the Soros line. They are merely a deep state mouthpiece.
As it is with all computer modeling...
12 different models, none of them are correct, but, somehow,
people think that if you average 12 “wrong” answers,
you will get the “right” answer.
A computer model is only as good as the validity of the information given to the programming team by the “experts” in their field.
I started tracking the depression just after it formed much further south than other storms this season. Most of the earlier depressions made a 60/70 degree turn to the northwest just after they became a storm hard right and went almost due north for about 3 days after they became a Tropical Storm or hurricane then turned more to the east. You’re right most forecasts were all over the map. I transposed the other tracks and put it straight over N. Ft. Myers. I feel almost sorry for projecting the track.
Oh please, we all take those forecasts with a VERY large grain of salt !
Considering the number of variables in the atmosphere, it’s surprising they get as much right as they do.
With a dynamic system that is always in flux, trying to pin point something exact is like trying to hit a moving target from the deck of a boat at sea.
Sometimes weather patterns can be very stable and offer a fairly high degree pf certainty. Other times not so much and anything can happen.
They learn from this and try to tweak the models for better success the next time. And NO meteorologist takes any pleasure in the widespread death and destruction that severe weather events can mete out. Their whole goal is to avoid that by warning people in time in spite of the harassment they take when they are off.
It should have been exact! After all they predict global warming 100 years from now to be 1/2 of 1 degree Fahrenheit.
These are the “man-made climate change” experts.
These are the “man-made climate change” experts.
“But trust us! Our computer model showing 1.5 degrees warming in 100 years is very accurate and trustworthy.”
Weather is like a woman. Unpredictable.
*ducks*