Posted on 10/06/2022 3:15:53 PM PDT by libh8er
The Russian army wasn't capable of maneuver warfare even before this war began war. They don't train for it, they don't have the low-level unit leadership, and it's not even really part of their doctrine.
No idea where you got that from.
Update on Russian operations in Ukraine for October 5, 2022
- Latest US aid package falls far short of replacing steep Ukrainian losses amid continued offensives;
- Ukraine’s offensive has limited capabilities, will not achieve “victory” over Russian forces in territory deemed “Ukrainian” by Kiev;
- Ukrainian offensive is an “all-or-nothing” proposition, hoping to achieve psychological and political gains toward ending the conflict in ways Ukrainian military force cannot;
- Western analysts celebrate the psychological impact the offensive is having on pro-Russian media, pundits, and even prominent members of Russian society;
- In reality, Ukraine will be left overextended and vulnerable just as Russia’s 300,000-strong mobilization begins shaping the battlefield.
Let’s all admit that none of us know exactly what’s going on over there. Freepers insulting each other here is unseeing and it should stop.
Cue the “let this faggotry cease immediately”.
So there.
All the discussion of military doctrine reminds me of a quote from a Soviet officers manual during the Cold War, and I’m paraphrasing:
“The challenge of preparing for military action with the Americans is that most of them don’t read their own manuals, and the ones that do feel no need to follow any of it.”
Or, as it has also be said, “The Russians don’t take a dump without a plan.”
This isn’t the 1940’s.
In Ukrainian channels, information about the state of the Armed Forces of Ukraine appeared. They refer to the data of the General Staff.
Here is what the military-political leadership of Ukraine hides:
- the staffing of the Armed Forces of Ukraine remains at the level of 43-48%;
- losses among military personnel - more than 191 thousand killed and wounded;
- statistics on missing persons are not maintained; - medicine is working at its limit, the seriously wounded are taken through Poland for treatment in European countries (Germany, France, Italy);
- an acute shortage of small arms and body armor;
- the resource of some samples of equipment transferred by the allies is ending (the first batches of American M777, M109, new Panzerhaubitse 2000 and MARS II);
- the lack of qualified specialists in the operation of Western weapons, so the equipment is operated by people without a deep understanding of the materiel;
- a problem with consumables, especially hydraulics and liquid nitrogen, necessary for M777 howitzers;
- in the field, an automated fire control system does not last long, fragments and dust are killed quickly enough; there are no opportunities for repairs on the spot, we have to send them to Poland, where there are spare parts and specialists.
In addition, the MPS of Ukrainian military personnel remains at a low level, despite the recent information campaign to distribute “encouraging” materials on social networks and organized concerts.
Such a deplorable state of the Armed Forces of Ukraine can only testify to one thing - they do not have long to exist.
Well said.
I may not always agree with everything you say, but thank you for saying it. You eloquently present a different perspective, a view that is necessary to perceive and consider when digesting the facts required to formulate an accurate reality.
At the beginning of the war Putin tried to take Kyiv. If he had succeeded he would have installed a puppet president and taken over Ukraine. But he underestimated the resolve of the Ukrainians. Remember, millions were starved under Stalin. The Ukrainians remember that.
The old Snafu Principle - that the higher you are in an organization, the less you know about what’s really going on - has been proven over and over. The current “leader of the free world” is Exhibit A.
Biden is the weak horse.
Putin is a horse’s ass.
Sorry, mods.
How many times will you cut & paste this one, Comrade?
Good Czar Bad Boyars.
Ha ha ha
I can’t tell you how much I appreciate your insight.
I rather doubt “helps Russia” is much of a concern for most OPEC members. They are more cut throat than that. Russia exporting less gas and oil is great for them! Plain and simple, they have become dependent as a meth head on meth on the export of high $ petroleum products. The SA Royal family, for example, would have long ago been deposed, but, they keep the population fat, “happy”, and as with most dependencies (in this case a sub-dependency), rather useless. Which is why Filipinos, Indonesians, etc., are imported to do most of the real work.
But, when it comes to their own population, each sustained crest of high oil or gas prices makes the Saudis’ task of getting though the next moderate prices period, say, $60 / barrel, a bit tougher. It’s like taxes to the gov’t. I rather doubt Saudi Arabia can hold it’s society together for long with oil at $70 / barrel. The same may hold for Russia, which runs nearly half it’s gov’t (including its military) off petro profits. Ditto for $90 oil if production falls considerably.
OPEC has a dilemna: Pushing the supply of oil down and the price up may very well cause the global recession to accelerate. In fact, what is causing this recession to form? More than anything else, it is a global energy shortage and resulting very high prices & inflation across the board! This is a very big problem, especially for countries that are net energy importers. I’m guessing that in 2022 oil prices above $70 / barrel, maybe even $60 / barrel (and gas prices over $5 / Million btu) are economy killers for heavy importers. (Gov’t debt can also be problematic.) The situation is a bit different for fossil fuel independent or exporting countries.
This creates an ultimately untenable situation, which the heavy importers will eventually resolve by either economically failing / falling behind, producing their own economical energy, or finding reasonable price new outside sources.
Now, flip that back to SA or Russia...
Happy to help!
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