[Putin just arrested Prigozhin’s top media guy. Brutal arrest by Spetnaz, not FSB. Civil war is coming.]
I’m betting on Putin and Shoigu. The thing about Shoigu, as Putin’s minion? He isn’t just unstintingly loyal to Putin - he also gets along with everyone. Prigozhin sounds like a jerk that everyone would like killed, because he’d try to kill them all upon gaining power. That’s why in any kind of power struggle, Prigozhin would end up shark food. I’d be surprised if anyone trusted him enough to go along with his machinations if he were indeed making a play for the top job.