Lukashenko better be careful.
He is in precarious position, totally hated by the population.
He has no army, only oppressive police.
If he does something like that he could be very quickly overrun by Ukraine and/or other forces around.
Frankly, I’m shocked it hasn’t already happened.
I believe that if Luka falls, Putin will not be far behind.
The goal is to intimidate Ukraine back to the table and end the war—In a best case No armies will need to be deployed! Making the “Rebellious provinces” part of Russia, gives them protection and the full backing of The Russian Federation—that includes her allies (few as they may be). Its a chess move. Knight to queen’s pawn. Now Ukraine and NATO have a choice. A) Keep on attacking and shelling and risk an almost certain declared war with Russia (and her allies) or B) sit down at the table talk cease fire and bargaining. The Question is what does NATO Powers want? War between Russia and Ukraine will mean bombings of Ukraine Cities—turn Kiev into Berlin 1945. Take out Railroads etc... No need to use A-bombs. Do we or the Europeans want a General War again? Too many random elements. What will China Do? India? South Korea, North Korea, Japan? Who will fight and who will sit this one out? Wiser heads need to come in and stop this before it turns into August 1914.
Yeah, and when you need your army to keep your restive population under control, it’s probably not a good idea to send your army away to a foreign country...