As they said in that movie:
Never ever go full neocon!
Posted on 09/28/2022 11:26:21 PM PDT by familyop
Daniel Kochis
@dankochis
Senior Policy Analyst, European Affairs
Daniel is a senior policy analyst for European affairs in the Margaret Thatcher Center for Freedom.
Russia’s wartime arsenal now appears to include sabotage of underwater pipelines.
On Monday, authorities in Europe noticed a sudden drop in pressure in the Nord Stream and Nord Stream II natural gas pipelines, which connect Russia with Germany. Since that time, a total of three leaks (two in NS1 and one in NS2) across both pipelines have been found. Seismologists in Denmark registered explosions in the area measuring around 2.1 and 2.3 on the Richter scale.
The leaks are in an area of the Baltic Sea just east of Bornholm Island, a strategic Danish outpost. The leaks are almost certainly an act of Russian sabotage. Several European nations, including Germany, have come to this same conclusion. In fact, the CIA reportedly warned the Germans of this very possibility over the summer.
The release of gas from the pipelines (which had been filled to maintain pressure but were not currently in active use), has led to ships being advised to stay five nautical miles from the leaks and aircraft at least 3,280 feet above. The pictures emerging of gas surfacing in a giant frothy circle in the Baltic Sea are certainly concerning for nations nearby—and that, of course, is partly the point.
Aside from the obvious environmental impacts of methane being released at this scale to the atmosphere, (one more example of how Russia couldn’t care less about carbon emissions), the area of the seabed around Bornholm is particularly environmentally sensitive. The sea east of Bornholm was a major dumping for chemical weapons and munitions post-WWII. Combatants in the war are thought to have dumped between 40,000 to 100,000 tons of munitions and chemical agents into the Baltic Sea. The Soviet Union is thought to have dumped around 40,000 tons of chemical agents, including mustard gas, at a dump site near Bornholm following the war.
This emerged as a significant issue during the building of the pipelines. The consortium building the project needed to secure special permits for ships with anchors to take part in sensitive locations. While some dumping sites are known, poor record-keeping, storms, navigational errors, accidents, and simply soldiers jettisoning their cargo willy-nilly means the extent and location of dangerous agents on the Baltic Sea floor will never be fully known.
This latest salvo should be read clearly as another striking example of how Russia continues to utilize every tool at its disposal to damage and pressure the West. Putin sees his war in Ukraine and his larger attacks against the West as a long-term conflict that won’t be resolved anytime soon which is why he’s willing to literally cut ties with Europe via sabotage to the very Nord Stream pipelines he invested so much money (including influence buying) and political and diplomatic capital to secure not long ago.
The Russian-controlled operator of the pipeline threw cold water on a quick fix, stating, “It’s impossible now to estimate the timeframe for restoring operations of the gas shipment infrastructure. The destruction that happened within one day at three lines of the Nord Stream pipeline system is unprecedented.”
It wasn’t long ago that the U.S. and its allies in eastern Europe were seeking to stop Germany from allowing NS2 to be completed—to no avail. Now, with Europe’s response to increasingly sever energy ties with Russia after Putin’s second invasion of Ukraine, making the pipelines defunct, Putin has found a creative use for them.
The sabotage is also meant to showcase Russia’s ability to sabotage underwater infrastructure. The timing is no accident; alongside the recently announced Russian mobilization, the leaders of Denmark, Norway, and Poland just joined together at a ceremony to open a new pipeline bringing Norwegian gas to Poland via the Baltic Sea.
The Nord Stream dress rehearsal could presage future attacks against pipelines feeding Europe with energy. If Europe wants to import gas from Algeria, or Azerbaijan, or Norway to replace Russian molecules, then Putin may take efforts to staunch the supply via attacks on pipelines. Taking no chances, today, Norway announced it was raising security at oil and gas facilities.
Already the attack has caused a spike in gas prices in Europe up to 12 percent on Tuesday. For a continent whose families and industry are already reeling from sky-high energy prices (at only the beginning of fall), further increases are yet another cruel blow.
Furthermore, in addition to attacks on energy infrastructure, Putin may be signaling to the West that other critical undersea infrastructure, namely fiber optic cables, could be next. Russia is known to have surveyed key fiber optic cables spanning the world’s oceans. In January, a fiber optic cable connecting the Norwegian mainland with its Svalbard archipelago in the Arctic was severed in an incident which has been deemed likely caused by “human impact.”
A final facet of the Nord Stream pipeline sabotage is Russia’s twisting of its actions to serve diplomatic ends. You can view recent Russian statements over the leaks—“an unprecedented situation requiring urgent investigation” and “we are extremely concerned about this news,” as foreshadowing. Soon there may be an attempt to shift blame on to the West (Russia will obviously deny involvement) with talking points about an affront to the rule of law—and demands for financial restitution.
Despite some fits and starts, the effort of Europe to move away from Russian energy, and its overall success in filling its gas storage in advance of the oncoming winter has surely rattled the Kremlin. This week’s sabotage of the Nord Stream pipelines has many meanings, all with the intention of rattling Europe. The West must not blink, but should be aware that Putin’s gambit may be a harbinger of similar things to come.
This piece originally appeared in 19fortyfive
Except what if Biden did it? He threatened to, last February.
Ping.
I don’t have a ping list. Just thought you might be interested in this one.
You know when you are dealing with a
Propagandist?
When they state something as a statement of fact and their is no definitive proof.
That person is also a Liar by their dishonesty.
Sure they did.
Why would he blown up a Russian pipeline, but not the Western one?
Germany suspended certification of the Nord Stream 2 on the 22nd of February and hasn’t used it. As the article states, Germany suspects the Russians of vandalizing the pipeline, as most other nations do.
The Biden Administration has been following governments of allies to ask that it not be certified since the invasion. No government among western allies has threatened to physically blow up the pipeline.
There goes that suddenly popular verb again: Weaponize.
Don’t let the FBI or the DOJ or the CIA or the IRS or the CDC hear it!
As they said in that movie:
Never ever go full neocon!
As veterans of Russiagate, the fake Christopher Steele dossier, and Trump’s fake Ukraine impeachment trial, we all should know better, but some FReepers, amazingly, simply haven’t figured it out yet. The U.S. attacked the pipelines and Germany knows it. For most of the world, these are overt operations, not covert operations.
“ . No government among western allies has threatened to physically blow up the pipeline.”
Except for Biden himself. He threatened last February that he’d have it destroyed if Russia moved into Eastern Ukraine
On Truth Social today, Trump posted a link to Biden’s threat
Heritage Foundation went off the rails years ago supporting the TPP and they think it is okay if other countries cheat free trade agreements because they support the “free market”.
you sure it was the Ruskies?
Those Germans in the know really shouldn't be singing along with those that put them in peril this winter, doncha think?
I remember when the Heritage Foundation was righteous. Those days are long gone.
Somebody is upset at Putin for trying to put an end to the Ukrainian money laundering scheme. I wonder who that could be.
Exactly. The fact is that Russia didn't attack anyone's pipeline. Biden made the threat earlier this year. This is a Deep State job, start to finish. I wouldn't be surprised if Bill Kristol didn't know about it in advance.
Precisely. As Cesar asked, "Cui bono?" Who benefits? Biden knows if the Ukrainian books are opened, the whole Biden Crime Family will come tumbling down.
I’m having real trouble trying to find a rationale for Putin to do it. He can’t play “carrot and stick” with Europe anymore because his carrot has been blown up. Only things left are to assume he’s no longer rational, or that someone else did it. Ukraine and the small Baltic countries definitely don’t have the means. Poland....maybe, but it would be mighty risky for them. Which leaves the screwballs around Biden. And they accuse the Republicans of being warmongers!
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