I won’t claim to know what is going on. However, I had one thought before recent polls that I want to share.
I’m getting political T.V. adds here in Georgia. As usual, Democrats seem to run about five adds for every one from Republicans. The ad against Kemp shows him answering a reporter’s question. It goes something like this: “So you are against abortion under any circumstance?” “Yes.” “Under any circumstances at all?” “Yes.” Brian Kemp - too extreme for Georgia.
Now to liberal Democrats, this is a great gotcha video clip. However, I think some Georgians recognize and appreciate his obstinate sincerity. Some even agree with his position. I suspect some Black Georgians read the man and liked what they saw.
Democrats and Blacks have a complex history. Democrat slave owners taught religion and taught that they cared for slaves. Times have changed but many foundational beliefs have not. Blacks still have Christianity, a gift in my opinion. Blacks still want those in power to take care of them. The last is a card the Democrats play well.
I don’t really know Kemp, but it’s easy to project Christianity and paternalism into the man. Democrats spent good money showing us Brian Kemp, thinking that he was hanging himself in his own words, when in fact he may have gained more votes than he lost.
It reminds me of the time Al Gore was asked who he wanted the Republicans to nominate. He said Ronald Reagan because he would be easy to beat.
But if the candidate sucks, that can work against them, as people get tired of their ads.