[nathanbedford]

My back of the envelope 2022 Senate races prediction (from two days ago):

Ohio, Wisconsin, Nevada and North Carolina are sure wins.

Arizona, Georgia, and Pennsylvania are probable wins.

New Hampshire conceivable but probably out of reach.

Washington, Colorado, likely out of reach.

Result: 53 Republican senators

At least 52 are needed to prevent the likes of Mitt Romney becoming the Republican equivalent of Joe Manchin and holding the party hostage.

[Nathan _in_Arkansas]

If that happens (GOP takes Senate by 3 and the House), the democrats will mobilize their foot soldiers and there will be riots and destruction.

Mark my words.

[nbenyo]

Nevada is a tossup. Polling in difficult in Nevada but tends to overestimate Republicans. Senators Angle and Heller can verify this.