If when Russia disintegrates this will be when Vlad dies, which means soon. The easy bet is the Chechens will split off first, and Moscow/Kremlin will not be able to do anything about this. There are not enough real ethnic Russian young men to join any kind of Kremlin army to overwhelm the Muslim Chechens and bring them to heel.......
The way Vlad was able to in 1999-2002. Those days are gone.
https://www.foxnews.com/world/putin-faces-second-war-front-chechens-threaten-new-offensive-russia
A nice find thank you.
“The loss of energy markets, which compensated for the country’s lack of modern industries, cannot be reversed. European governments will not rely again on Nord Stream-1 (natural gas pipeline), having witnessed how easily it can be turned off, and are already making long-term investments in domestic energy supply.”
Finally, Hodges suggests Russian demographics makes the state more brittle than it may seem.