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Maricopa County Recorder Forewarns That Democrats Will Lead On Election Night
AZ Free News ^

Posted on 09/07/2022 7:00:24 PM PDT by SoConPubbie

In an attempt to set voter expectations ahead of the upcoming midterm elections, Maricopa County Recorder Stephen Richer shared that initial results would favor Democrats heavily.

Richer based his prediction on the voting patterns from November 2020 and last month’s primary election. Both elections first tabulated early ballots received the week beforehand, most of which voted for Democratic candidates. Then, the county tabulates early ballots dropped off the day before and on Election Day, as well as in-person ballots, most of which voted for Republican candidates.

“First moral of the story: in Arizona, initial results will likely be much bluer than eventual final results,” said Richer. “Second moral: if you want your ballot to be part of results released at 8:00 pm on Election Night, return it before the weekend before Election Day.”

🧵A blue night.

Let's start setting expectations now.

If voting patterns mirror Nov. 2020 and Aug. 2022, the initial results released in Maricopa County on Nov. 8 will be much bluer than the final results.

This is because the order in which ballots are tabulated.

Cont.— Stephen Richer—Maricopa Cnty Recorder (prsnl acct) (@stephen_richer) September 5, 2022

Less than two weeks after last month’s primary election, the Maricopa County Board of Supervisors released their canvas of the election results. Over 866,000 voters (35 percent of the 2.47 million registered voters) cast ballots in the primary election, over 87 percent of which were early voters.

According to the canvas, Republicans had a higher turnout than Democrats in Maricopa County: over 59 percent to just over 47 percent, respectively. 

REVIEW PRIMARY ELECTION RESULTS HERE

While Richer predicted the county’s potential initial outcomes for the midterms, the primary’s voter turnout and the county’s voter registration numbers hint at the potential final outcomes.

According to the county’s latest voter registration statistics in July, most voters identified as Republican. Over 854,000 voters were Republican (34.5 percent), while over 851,000 voters were “other” (34.4 percent) and over 748,000 were Democrats (30.2 percent).

For months, party switches have trended in the following order from least to greatest: other, Republican, Democrat, than Libertarian. In July, over 5,500 voters switched to “other,” over 4,500 switched to “Republican,” over 3,500 switched to Democrat, and over 400 switched to Libertarian. 

July 2022 Voter Registration numbers pic.twitter.com/2Z4r4Gj5Fn— Maricopa County Recorder's Office (@RecordersOffice) August 9, 2022

Maricopa County’s pattern of voter registrations aligns with the state’s. According to the secretary of state’s latest voter registration statistics, there are over 1.4 million Republicans (34.5 percent), over 1.4 million “other” voters (33.7 percent), and nearly 1.3 million Democrats (30.9 percent). Less than one percent, or 32,600 voters, were Libertarian.


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Arizona
KEYWORDS: 2022midterms; bloggers; fakenews; herewegoagain; stopthesteal
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1 posted on 09/07/2022 7:00:24 PM PDT by SoConPubbie
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To: SoConPubbie

Abandon All Hope.


2 posted on 09/07/2022 7:05:01 PM PDT by sevlex
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To: SoConPubbie

I just dont understand what is so freaking hard about voting on ONE day, election day!

why is that racist?


3 posted on 09/07/2022 7:06:32 PM PDT by TexasFreeper2009
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To: SoConPubbie

Why is this A hole saying anything at all?


4 posted on 09/07/2022 7:07:56 PM PDT by samadams2000
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To: SoConPubbie

Vote on Election Day.


5 posted on 09/07/2022 7:09:52 PM PDT by cowboyusa (America Cowboy up!)
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To: SoConPubbie
Headline doesn't match quote. Richer only said that "initial results will likely be much bluer than eventual final results,”

He didn't say that the Democrats would lead.

6 posted on 09/07/2022 7:11:32 PM PDT by FreeReign
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To: SoConPubbie

Why dont Rs have any vote counters?


7 posted on 09/07/2022 7:16:41 PM PDT by GreatRoad ('In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act' )
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To: sevlex
Abandon All Hope.

You win the thread!
8 posted on 09/07/2022 7:17:57 PM PDT by SoConPubbie (Mitt and Obama: They're the same poison, just a different potency)
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To: TexasFreeper2009
I just dont understand what is so freaking hard about voting on ONE day, election day!

why is that racist?


It's not racist at all!

Just SOP of the Marxists (Democrats) to lie about why they are implementing Voter Fraud.
9 posted on 09/07/2022 7:19:14 PM PDT by SoConPubbie (Mitt and Obama: They're the same poison, just a different potency)
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To: GreatRoad

Why don’t Rs have any vote counters?

Cause the R’s don’t cheat..


10 posted on 09/07/2022 7:21:34 PM PDT by tallyhoe
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To: SoConPubbie

Anyone who still mails in their ballot needs their head examined. I vote on the day of, in person.


11 posted on 09/07/2022 7:32:49 PM PDT by roving ( Pronouns- libs/suk)
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To: SoConPubbie

He seems to have left out the 3am blue vote “bump”.


12 posted on 09/07/2022 7:36:51 PM PDT by Do_Tar (I wish I was kidding.)
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To: SoConPubbie

In other words the fix is in again.


13 posted on 09/07/2022 7:37:53 PM PDT by tennmountainman ( Less Lindell CONS, More AZ Style Audits)
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To: cowboyusa

That’s what we’re going to do... show up on election day.

Rush always used to say this too, but I didn’t get it at the time.


14 posted on 09/07/2022 7:39:34 PM PDT by Sarcazmo ("Sarcasm is the highest form of wit" ~ O. Wilde)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Too many people are mobile in their jobs. Back in the day
most people lived close to where they worked. Today many
people’s jobs take them all over the place. Over the road
truckers, pilots, construction workers, sales people, etc.
Mobile society vs stay at home area 50+ years ago.


15 posted on 09/07/2022 7:41:05 PM PDT by deport
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To: SoConPubbie
In before the:


16 posted on 09/07/2022 7:41:40 PM PDT by fidelis (👈 Under no obligation to respond to rude, ignorant, abusive, bellicose, and obnoxious posts.)
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To: SoConPubbie

The tabulations are already in the computers, just waiting to be printed out?


17 posted on 09/07/2022 7:44:57 PM PDT by PAR35
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To: SoConPubbie

In Maricopa there areapt to be more Democrat votes than eligible voters/


18 posted on 09/07/2022 7:48:28 PM PDT by arthurus ( covfefe n)
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To: All

Dominion. .. and corrupt county clerk is why.


19 posted on 09/07/2022 7:53:36 PM PDT by LegendHasIt
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To: SoConPubbie

This guy fought the audit like a bobcat in a sack.


20 posted on 09/07/2022 7:55:31 PM PDT by lurk (u)
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