most mathematical models used to predict things where have lots of assumptions because of incomplete or inaccurate info...This is why I laugh at climate alarmist that point to mathematical models....when they talk about temperature readings over the last 100 years I ask how many of those readings were originally in rural areas that are not rural any more...The asphalt and cement in cities can throw off the readings by as much as 5 degrees because of radiant heat in the area... the climate alarmist who use mathematical models have this flaw built into their predictions of runaway temperatures.... it’s not verry surprising to me that the mathematical models are not predicting what the telescope is revealing. When dealing with the unknown you just don’t know.
Believe me I know. I’ve built financial models for years. The math doesn’t change. Its the assumptions you build into the models. They can show anything depending on the assumptions you begin with. Its the same with climate models, with astronomical models or anything else. If your assumptions are crap, your results are going to be crap.