They cook up fake polls Rasmussen gives the GOP a five point edge probably closer to the truth.
The “press” is stirring this up. Cudaly of Trafalgar has an interview up this morning - there was a few point move to the Ds after the abortion decision, its now largely swung back to the Rs. He shows Vance way ahead in Ohio, Ron Johnson is up in WI, and the Ds seem to be at a disadvantage in Nevada, tied in GA, a bit ahead in AZ. The D pollster allies do this every year to diminish turnout for the Rs; the same people had Joe biden up 19 over Trump in Wisconsin in 2020 on the Sunday before the election - Senile Pops was only able to steal it by one half percentage points.