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Buyer's remorse: Kari Lake competitor failed in Arizona despite massive spending advantage
Washington Examiner ^ | August 11, 2022 06:45 AM | David M. Drucker

Posted on 08/14/2022 3:16:35 PM PDT by SoConPubbie

How much was former President Donald Trump’s endorsement, plus 27 years as a television news anchor, worth to Kari Lake in her successful bid for the Republican nomination for governor of Arizona? Millions.

Lake bested wealthy businesswoman Karrin Taylor Robson 47.9% to 43.2% in the Arizona GOP gubernatorial primary despite being outspent 18 to 1 on radio and broadcast and cable television. Lake spent just shy of $827,000 on the air, according to the most recently available figures, while Taylor Robson blanketed the airwaves with $15.3 million in campaign advertising. Lake also got clobbered by Taylor Robson on total spending, $18.4 million to $3.6 million.

“Kari Lake had so many built-in advantages over the rest of the field,” Barrett Marson, a Republican operative in Phoenix, said Wednesday. “I don’t think any amount of ground game, any amount of money, or any substantial policy differences could have stopped a Trump-backed media star.”

Marson, an ally of term-limited Gov. Doug Ducey (R), who endorsed Taylor Robson, supported former GOP Rep. Matt Salmon, who ended his gubernatorial campaign before the Aug. 2 primary. Some Republicans share Marson’s view, saying it’s easy to take shots at Taylor Robson’s campaign after the fact.

But other GOP operatives, particularly those worried Lake puts the party’s hold on the governor’s mansion in jeopardy in the midterm elections, complain Taylor Robson’s campaign was mismanaged. Lake is a vocal proponent of Trump's unsupported stolen election claims, a position that could be problematic in Arizona, a bona fide swing state.

The Taylor Robson advisers catching the most heat are Doug Goodyear, a Republican operative who works for government relations firm DCI Group and is a longtime Ducey associate, and Jon Seaton, a GOP strategist. Some of their Republican critics say something must have gone awry with their advertising strategy to come up short after outspending Lake by a whopping $14.4 million.

Other gripes were more specific.

“It was her campaign to lose after Matt Salmon dropped out, and she lost it,” a Republican insider in Arizona said. “There is always the balance of strong ads that get to millions of people — and the echo chamber that they hear ... at the grassroots level. You had none of that with Karrin.”

“They had zero ground game,” this GOP insider added, saying Taylor Robson’s campaign paled in comparison to previous winning efforts from such Republicans as former Sens. Jon Kyl and John McCain, each being elected several times between them. This Republican requested anonymity to speak candidly, as did other GOP critics of Taylor Robson’s campaign. Goodyear did not respond to an email requesting comment.

But Seaton, speaking to the Washington Examiner at length, said the criticisms were baseless.

To begin with, Seaton said the Taylor Robson field operation was robust. The campaign visited more than 150,000 homes, contacted more than 225,000 GOP primary voters, and deployed grassroots volunteers to dozens of events — rodeos, parades, and party gatherings. Seaton emphasized that Taylor Robson began her race with virtually zero name recognition, a problem given the peculiarities of this campaign.

Lake and Taylor Robson were both first-time candidates running for an open seat. But Seaton said Lake had the advantages of incumbency thanks to Trump’s endorsement and being near-universally known from her decades as a television news anchor in Phoenix's dominant media market. With all those challenges in mind, Seaton said he was proud of Taylor Robson and the campaign she ran, notwithstanding she lost to Lake by 4.7 percentage points.

“We needed to increase Karrin’s name ID from minimal to competitive and had very little time to do it. The only way to do that is spending money on television to tell her story; that’s a decision we made as a team,” Seaton said. “You never want to fall short. But she did a good job of introducing herself to voters, and they clearly liked what she had to say.”

Lake is facing Secretary of State Katie Hobbs (D) in the general election.


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Editorial; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Arizona
KEYWORDS: 2020election; 2022election; arizona; assistantdemocrat; assistantdemocrats; buyersremorse; creepstate; davidmdrucker; deepstate; dnctalkingpoint; dnctalkingpoints; election2020; election2022; gopestablishment; janbrewer; karilake; karrintaylorrobson; mediawingofthednc; nevertrumpers; nevertrumpexaminer; okkarrin; partisanmediashill; partisanmediashills; policestate; presstitutes; rino; rinos; robson; ronklain; singlepartystate; smearmachine; taylorrobson; tds; trump; trumpendorsement; uniparty
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1 posted on 08/14/2022 3:16:35 PM PDT by SoConPubbie
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To: SoConPubbie

Yeb! found out that $150 million only gets you 3 delegates when you’re an amnesty loving Bush League Republican.


2 posted on 08/14/2022 3:21:44 PM PDT by Lurkinanloomin ( (Natural born citizens are born here of citizen parents)(Know Islam, No Peace-No Islam, Know Peace)
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To: SoConPubbie

“””Lake bested wealthy businesswoman Karrin Taylor Robson 47.9% to 43.2% in the Arizona GOP gubernatorial primary despite being outspent 18 to 1 on radio and broadcast and cable television”””


This is why the RINO’s fear Trump and his MAGA posse.

Money will no longer keep the RINO’s in power.


3 posted on 08/14/2022 3:24:39 PM PDT by Presbyterian Reporter
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Okay, Karrin.

Did not help having a slight resemblance to Hillary, either . . .


4 posted on 08/14/2022 3:26:36 PM PDT by Olog-hai ("No Republican, no matter how liberal, is going to woo a Democratic vote." -- Ronald Reagan, 1960)
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To: SoConPubbie

Good for Mrs.Lake. is she a Mrs. Or Ms.? I don’t care, she seems solid. And good looking to boot.


5 posted on 08/14/2022 3:27:03 PM PDT by waterhill (Resist)
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To: SoConPubbie

Losers always have all the answers, but they still lost.


6 posted on 08/14/2022 3:29:08 PM PDT by SaxxonWoods (The only way to secure your own future is to create it yourself.)
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To: Olog-hai
Did not help having a slight resemblance to Hillary, either . . .

Omigosh, she does. Even the somewhat crazy eyes.

7 posted on 08/14/2022 3:29:29 PM PDT by Allegra
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To: waterhill

Conservative women are easy on the eyes it seems.


8 posted on 08/14/2022 3:30:16 PM PDT by waterhill (Resist)
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To: SoConPubbie

> radio and broadcast and cable television

For instance, considering myself who doesn’t follow any of the above, that’s wasted money. There are lots of people that are internet only these days.


9 posted on 08/14/2022 3:33:43 PM PDT by glorgau
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To: SoConPubbie

She didn’t connect with people, her negative ads were a total turnoff, but most of all she was GOPe and everyone knew it.


10 posted on 08/14/2022 3:37:20 PM PDT by McGavin999 (To shut down the border tell the administration the cartel is smuggling Ivermectin )
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To: SoConPubbie

Washington tries to tell AZ how to think.
We don’t need any help.


11 posted on 08/14/2022 3:44:47 PM PDT by Zathras
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To: SoConPubbie
” Lake is a vocal proponent of Trump's unsupported stolen election claims …”

Wow. I’ve seen all kinds of evidence supporting Trump’s claims. But I don’t recall anyone presenting evidence that the election was on the level. Nothing can actually stop THE BIG LIE.

12 posted on 08/14/2022 3:48:15 PM PDT by InterceptPoint (Ted, you finally endorsed.)
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To: SoConPubbie

Spend money against a Trump endorsement is a bad idea. Wasted money.


13 posted on 08/14/2022 3:49:04 PM PDT by Reno89519 (FJB. Respect America, Embrace America, Buy American, Hire American.)
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To: SoConPubbie
Some of their Republican critics say something must have gone awry with their advertising strategy to come up short after outspending Lake by a whopping $14.4 million.

In brief, the rubes are onto you. That's my consulting advice. They can forward my $1 million fee later on.

14 posted on 08/14/2022 3:55:21 PM PDT by pierrem15 ("Massacrez-les, car le seigneur connait les siens" )
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To: Lurkinanloomin
Lake spent just shy of $827,000 on the air, according to the most recently available figures, while Taylor Robson blanketed the airwaves with $15.3 million in campaign advertising.

Let's hope lots of RINO's learn the Yeb! lesson... Liz is next.

15 posted on 08/14/2022 3:55:31 PM PDT by GOPJ (The FBI has been getting more brazen about its political thuggery this last year - Mark Steyn )
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To: SoConPubbie

The Democrats learned this in 2018 and 2020. Just because you spend more money - even a lot more money - does not mean you are going to win.


16 posted on 08/14/2022 3:58:51 PM PDT by FLT-bird
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To: SoConPubbie

Is Doug Douche a MORMON?? Why else would he support the pathetic Matt Salmon??


17 posted on 08/14/2022 4:04:22 PM PDT by Ann Archy (Abortion....... The HUMAN Sacrifice to the god of Convenience.)
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To: SoConPubbie

We got mailers from her several times a week and saw an ad every time we turned the TV on. Never mentioned the fraud in the 2020 election and she had Doucey’s support. We voted for Kari.


18 posted on 08/14/2022 4:05:06 PM PDT by Tea Drinker (Live From Sunny Tucson)
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To: Olog-hai

WOW you are right, Hillary Revisited.


19 posted on 08/14/2022 4:10:30 PM PDT by Kozy (new age haruspex; "Everyone has a plan 'till they get punched in the mouth.")
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To: SoConPubbie

I still think there was cheating. Lake had a much bigger lead in every poll as did the other Trump backed candidates. Lakes margin was the only one to shrink from the poll numbers.


20 posted on 08/14/2022 4:13:34 PM PDT by fightin kentuckian
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