Russia is not going to abide the cap, more likely to double the price to entities supporting it.
Look at what happens between Russia and Europe on natural gas for reference.
If there won’t be Russian oil on market it is going to be 1973 part deux.
Brace for $200 oil.
Soviet Union was doomed by the fact that the Russians never viewed the West as enemy but mre like adversary and they believed that their communist system sucks and the problem for reconciliation with the rest of the world.
Nowadays the don’t have such illusions, and they don’t miss anything in the West as well. They know that you hate them for the very fact of their existence and going to stand their ground.
As for atrocities I have no idea what are you talking about, but yet to see Bush and any of military leaders prosecuted for scores of innocent Iraqis killed under a false pretext.
Lay off the vodka, tovarisch
“ Look at what happens between Russia and Europe on natural gas for reference.”
Russia losing market share that took decades to build, in just months.
Prices may spike for a few weeks or months. Probably will. And then it will be over.
Customers will have moved on to new suppliers, and Russia can watch their fields decay, until such time that they can manage to implement a government that can abide by minimal standards of human decency.
Russia will be shunned as a monster for its brutality and cruelty. People don’t have to do business with Russia, or lend it money anymore. Divorces are painful, but the civilized world won’t stay in a relationship with a violent abuser.
Lash out in the short term if you must. If you have to be nuked down to ashes, then you have to be. But don’t expect normal people to keep up normal relations, while Russia goes about razing villages, torturing and murdering civilians, and plundering like the dark ages. No one else wants to live in that kind of world. Ultimately, it comes down to agreeing to fill up at a different gas station, and that is what is going to happen.
Orcs can stay in Mordor and eat their oil. Maybe Zimbabwe or North Korea will still let them visit for vacation. But the option of being respected as human beings was squandered by Putin and his silokiki mafia, in their crime wave.