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To: BeauBo

You are talking like a Roman a year before fall.
My guess is that in months the USD is not going to be what it used to be and a great deal of weapons your government sent to Ukraine is going to return stateside with the cartels and organized crime.
Punishing Russia is not going to be a priority at this point.
Americans are likely to get hunted all around the third world, both military and civilians making the access to raw materials much harder.
Look at the Middle East to start with. Is there anyone pro-American left except Israel? Israel is actually between a rock and a hard place as well.
As for the Russian oil, check out its percentage in the total economy. Russians are going to do just fine exporting 20% of current volume. If you’d hear from their big oil CEOs they advocate cutting exports already. Are you going to do okay with $12-16 gas as a result is another question .


16 posted on 07/27/2022 4:43:26 PM PDT by NorseViking
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To: NorseViking

“ Russians are going to do just fine exporting 20% of current volume.”

Putin is a master strategist!

Why didn’t anyone think of that approach before? Sure victory!

Actually, that is about as fine as you will be able to do. 20% of the volume, but on lower prices. All While the other sectors of the economy implode.

The hammer is really going to drop when all that former revenue suddenly dries up, and the knives will be out to fight over what is left. Many will have to be cut out, and their anger will demand blood. Even if it is not about anger, they will have to spill blood to get their piece of that much smaller pie.

What a disaster for Russia, being driven over the cliff like this.

P.S. The USA is the world’s largest producer of both oil and natural gas, with proven technological and financial ability to grow production of both at double digit annual growth rates (unlike Russia). We can take care of ourselves, and your former market share as well. Party on Russia’s former pie! Everybody grab a piece! Putin is a master strategist!


18 posted on 07/27/2022 9:17:38 PM PDT by BeauBo
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