“I think the Dobbs decision will primarily be a driving factor in districts that are already +10(D).”
If true, that’s all well and good at the House level but there are such things as statewide elections too — and increased turnout in the ghetto Democrat districts and suburban soccer mommy Democrat districts is obviously not going to be beneficial to Republican chances in those races.
Those who say this ruling will have NO impact on Democrat and RINO (i.e., pro-abortionist) turnout in November are probably the same fools who believed that 2020 would be a landslide because Trump had all the “enthusiasm” on his side and Basement Biden had none whatsoever.
Despite mountains of evidence, they still refuse to understand that voting AGAINST someone (Trump) or something (Supreme Court ruling) is a great motivator — particularly for liberal snowflakes who are so easily emotionally manipulated 24/7 by the media.
We’ve seen minor examples of such things on the right too. Were GOP voters in 2008 and 2012 really voting FOR stumblebums like McCain and Romney or were we really voting AGAINST Bonzo the Wonder Chimp?
In 2008 some of us could say we were voting FOR Sarah Palin despite McCain’s presence on the ticket, but voting against Bonzo was the primary factor for most.
Hatred can be a fantastic motivator, and nobody spreads hatred (of Republicans) like the media, and nobody is more susceptible to propaganda than brainless liberal snowflakes.
If people blindly refuse to accept 2020 as a great example of that, then perhaps they still remember the 2018 “Blue Wave”? It wasn’t all just “fraud, fraud, fraud”, it was a ton of hatred directed at President Trump, and it worked brilliantly, as Democrat turnout broke all records for a midterm election (yes, R turnout was up too — not nearly as much though).
Yeah, I'm not even going to pretend to predict how this will turn out for Republican gubernatorial candidates running tight races in swing states, especially after many of them will feel pressured to make promises to enact extremely restrictive statewide abortion bans.
For the record, I was not one of these people.
I tend to believe that mainstream political opinions and those expressed here on Free Republic are often quite different.