No one can know with any certainty with all the propaganda.
Nonsense. There are plenty of independent journalists on YouTube -- Alex Christoforou/Alexander Mercouris (The Duran), Jacob Dreizen, Larry Johnson (SONAR 21), Clayton and Natali Morris (Redacted), Gonzalo Lira and Scott Ritter. And, each and every one of them has said Russia is winning and will get exact how it is winning.
Exactly - the only ‘news’ that is being gained from polls is as a metric for the people peddling propaganda.
The question being asked is actually, “How well is our tale being heard and accepted?”