June 20 (Reuters) - Russia on Monday demanded that Lithuania immediately lift a ban on the transit of some goods to the Russian exclave of Kaliningrad.
The Russian foreign ministry told the Lithuanian envoy in Moscow that if cargo transit between the Kaliningrad region and the rest of Russia through Lithuania was not restored, Moscow would respond to protect its interests.
So, what will be Moscow's response?
Is it war with the West?
I don't think the Russians will dare that. The trains to Kaliningrad aren't fundamental to their existence, especially in that it will rally the West against them and force them to take military action. They can still resupply by sea. The Russians will continue to bitterly complain, but I don't think they'll go beyond words.
What do you think?