Fry is right at 50 percent with 96 percent of the vote in; whether he avoids a runoff with Rice will be very close but he is doing much better than projected.
Most of the other candidates are Fry wannabes so even if he ends the night under 50% the odds are that the other candidate's votes are going to go to him in the run off. One way or the other I'd say he's going to be the candidate in November,