200 a day is bad but worse is the 500 a day wounded—needing medical care. That is a tremendous loss and expensive to rehabilitate the wounded and shattered men. Shell shock from Bombardment can wreck anyone for the rest of their lives. The Propaganda told us the Ukrainians were supermen—winning every fight. But no one can stand the constant WW I style bombardment. This also indicates that they Ukraine doesn’t control the skies—or the artillery would be taken out. Russians like Cannons, they can fire them all day and night. As long as they can bring in shells—they win. Ukraine better do one of two things: A) Stage an event to bring in NATO Forces. or B) Make a deal with Putin before they lose Odessa.
Neither will be necessary.
The path to Odesa requires taking Mikolaiv and the odds Russia loses Kherson are currently higher than them ever taking Mikolaiv.
Kharkiv is less than 30 miles from the Russian Border and less than a 1 hour drive From the huge Russian Supply hub in Belgrod, yet Russian Couldn't take Kharkiv in 3 months of trying.
Odesa is "3 bridges too far" and not in any danger of falling to Russia.