Replies

In post 211, you insisted that 99% of the vote was in.

That was wrong.

In post 253, you insisted that there were only 50K votes left at that point.

That was wrong.

Politico was wrong. You were wrong.

You were whining about the midterm turnout. It turns out that the GOP turned out more than the Democrats, and that hasn’t happened in the past (as far back as I checked.)

2006: GOP 583K Democrat 654K
2010: GOP 820k Democrat 1.05 million
2014: GOP 374k Democrat 854k
2018: GOP 737k Democrat 767k
2022: GOP 1.3 million (and rising) Democrat 1.18 million

I was right. You were wrong. Politico was wrong.

Oh, and this morning we learned that DCCC internal polling has the GOP ahead by 8% in the generic ballot.

LOL!

In post 211, you insisted that 99% of the vote was in. That was wrong. In post 253, you insisted that there were only 50K votes left at that point. That was wrong.

LOL. Citing Politico's estimates doesn't make me wrong.

You were whining about the midterm turnout. It turns out that the GOP turned out more than the Democrats, and that hasn’t happened in the past (as far back as I checked.)

Given the high visibility of the race, huge amount of money spent in the GOP primary, and unhappiness with the Biden regime, I expected a significantly higher turnout in the race, especially compared to the Dem race. Trump received 3,379,055 votes in 2020. Using past midterms omits the far different conditions today.

Republican registrations surge in Pennsylvania in warning sign for Democrats

Republicans are registering formerly Democratic voters at four times the rate that Democrats are making the reverse conversion in the battleground state of Pennsylvania, a warning sign for Democrats as they try to keep control of the U.S. Congress.

While registered Democrats still outnumber registered Republicans by more than half a million in Pennsylvania - 4 million Democrats to 3.4 million Republicans as of March 28 - the long-held Democratic advantage continues to narrow and is on pace to be the smallest in a general election since 2005.