Posted on 04/23/2022 10:04:32 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
Ukraine: military situation update with maps, April 23, 2022
Summary:
Key areas: Izyum bridgehead. Russian troops are slowly mopping up corner between Oskil and Siverskiy Donets rivers controlled by Ukrainian side before. Town of Kreminna captured by Russians.
Deep penetration into Ukrainian frontline between Velyka Novosilka and Gulyaypole at the village of Zelene Pole.
New focus area will be Donbass, Izyum, Mariupol, Kherson.
1. Kharkiv: positional fighting, heavy shelling by Russian troops. Confirmed attempt of Ukrainian forces to attack towards Ukrainian-Russian border towards crossing point Goptivaka/Zhuravlivka, Ukrainian troops took control of few villages in the grey zone when approached Russian controlled village Kozacha Lopan UA troops were repelled.
2. Izyum bridgehead: Russian 4TD and 3 mechanized division expanded bridgehead in the west to village of Zavody and in the south to village of Dibrovne - unclear if Dibrovne is in full Russian control or fighting is going on in the village. It is extremely dangerous penetration by Russian troops that potentially could lead to large pocket for Ukrainian troops west of Donetsk. New reinforcement on the bridgehead - 106 Airborne Division.
There are no signs of 6TB/47TD that originally captured bridgehead. Russian 21 brigade now fights on the bridgehead as well, parts of 144ID are being pulled there as well. No expansion of bridgehead over these days. Example of heavy losses - Russian 252 Rgt from 3mD has 50-60 people in companies.
3. Russian attacks on Popasna, Rubizhne and Severodonetsk, fighting on outskirts of towns. Russian troops captured majority of Rubizhne. Popasna is about 80% captured by Russian troops, town center is controlled by Russian side, they control center of the town. Russian mercenaries - Wagner Group operates in Popasna, also Russian 57 brigade operates there as well.
4. West of Donetsk: Avidyivka and Maryinka - very active shelling with Russian artillery of all calibers including 203 mm guns. Maryinka is only 25% captured by Russian troops. Ukrainian side claims recapture of all of Maryinka, but we don’t have supporting evidence. No updates on the control of Maryinka.
5. Vugledar is in Ukrainian hands. Dangerous Russian attack on village of Velyka Novosilka to the east of Vugledar.
6. Mariupol: continuous fighting, heavy shelling by Russian troops using 240-mm mortars, MLRS, FAB-3000/5000 bombs, Russian troops captured all of the sea port. Small underground town under Azovstal - 11 sq km, 6 layers, 3 m sick concrete between layers. Russian side made major decision not to storm Azovstal.
7. Deep Russian penetration towards village of Zelene Pole near Velyka Novosilka. Ukrainian strongholds are towns of Gulyaypole and Orikhiv, village of Velyka Novosilka. Russian 19D is operating there.
8. Mykolayiv: positional fighting, shelling. 14th brigade arrived to the region. Russian troops also received reinforcement - part of 201 military camp - we estimate it’s a brigade size subunit.
War in Ukraine
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mwgi34E6ygQ
Its an information war as much as it is a physical one.
You’d think after Russia-gate folks here would be a bit more circumspect about the information they imbibe.
RE: No, , they not winning.....ISW is neocon warmongers
Where in the article does it say anyone is winning on April 23?
The data is total BS. Leftist Agitprop.
More likely a stalemate.
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From the article”without national mobilization “, means what it means- Russia has NOT fully mobilized its armed forces against the Ukies. Without a vote from their Duma, war is not possible.
This Ukie move is a special military operation, stated and declared so as to not have to fully mobilize as in a declared hot war. Unfamiliar to the west, but Vlad, like us has to receive approval by vote from his Congress ( Duma). He is following the rules of his country and contrary to what the West thinks, his Congress has only authorized limited military action in Ukraine.
I wish there were a way for Ukraine to start hitting Moscow .
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Careful what war cheerleading tripe you spew. Your suggestion would turn the entire country of Ukraine into one smoking pile of rubble, overnight.
Vlad has been operating with amazing restraint.
I saw the same video posted here yesterday that said it was a Ukrainian helicopter shot down by Russia.
OK, i chose the wrong word when i said winning,
point being that ISW and the ukes usually either deny those “minor gains” or undersell the significance of them..good journalism would point out the opporunities and risks of a supply road getting cut off as some do. Have you seen anything in ISW or MSM about the railway bridges ukes have blown during their retreat?
RE: Have you seen anything in ISW or MSM about the railway bridges ukes have blown during their retreat?
And how does blowing a railway bridge tell us about who is winning or losing in this battle?
Bridges were being blown up in Vietnam and Korea during their wars.
And how does blowing a railway bridge tell us about who is winning or losing in this battle?
Sure he has.
Do svidanya tovarich
No, I am an observer like you and have no way of verifying what either side claims. So far, Kiev's claims have proven wildly wrong, while circumstances have eventually supported Moscow's reports. Kiev shouts and begs in its official communications, in sharp contrast to the Russian MOD's calm daily reports. These factors, combined with Russia's superior numbers and unimpeded theater logistics, indicate that tide and time are stacked against Kiev.
RE: one can logically infer that that the ukes don’t expect to regain the territory anytime in the near future.
The key words are “near future”.
I toured Vietnam in 2018 and my guide showed me Bridges that the Vietcongs deliberately blew up to prevent enemy supplies from getting through.
After the Vietcongs took over all of Vietnam, the bridges were rebuilt.
A blown up bridge does not necessarily tell us who is winning. It tells us more about tactics fair or foul.
You can't recognize mockery when you see it.
You need to work on your comprehension skills.
Engage with the data, do not simply reject it. Examine it in light of other information. Evaluate it for plausibility. See if it “fits” other information or a historical perspective. The fog of war can be clarified to an extent. There is a brain on top of your neck, use it.
I literally had a career in data analysis.
Hence, the mockery.
Please lecture someone else, if you feel the need to do that.
Thank you for your gifts of both reading comprehension and analysis, Godebert.
From the article:
“ZURICH (Reuters) - Neutral Switzerland has held up German arms deliveries to Ukraine by blocking the re-export of Swiss-made ammunition used in Marder infantry fighting vehicles that Kyiv would like to get, Swiss paper SonntagsZeitung reported.”
Good to see someone has some common sense. As the conflict continues, many in the EU are starting to question Zelensky’s constant call for war, war, war, …Zelensky was elected with promises to resolve the Donbass provinces Independence. Zelensky was warned by the Neo Nazi’s to NOT negotiate with Vlad, he ditched negotiations, and here we are.
The "full invasion of Ukraine" became an article of faith in Western media, but at the outset Russia announced its goals to secure Donbas, demilitarize Ukraine and block it from joining NATO. Its relatively small force was too small to conquer all of Ukraine, but quite sufficient to draw UKR reserves in to defend Kiev while fixing UKR's best combat forces along a broad eastern front. Weeks of deep strikes have depleted UKR forces and their ability to move eastward where RUS has rapidly and massively reinforced its forces.
and what good does "unimpeded theater logistics" do if your logistics supply is incompetent?
What evidence shows that RUS logistics is incompetent? RUS enjoys unimpeded routes from its own territory to the frontlines in Ukraine - and I believe this will prove to be the decisive factor in the artillery and aviation-heavy meatgrinder that is shaping up.
plus technology is now a big factor now, the Great Equalizer ... and Ukraine has the edge in that area
It is a big factor, but I'm not sure which side actually has a technological edge. The Wermacht and Luftwaffe proved that technology is a big factor until it runs out, so UKR must win quickly to have a chance. Tide and time favor the larger and better equipped RUS forces.
so I say Russia runs into a buzzsaw ... stay tuned, we'll all see which view is right!
My gut says RUS wants this to drag on while it continues to pound the isolated UKR forces in the east. But you're right, we shall see...
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