“... will result in the political demise of Russian president and strongman Vladimir Putin ...”
Then how does he explain how dictators like Kim Jong-un and Nicolás Maduro hold onto power?
If I was a betting man I would bet that Putin dies of natural causes before he is dethroned. Though I would not shed a tear if it happens otherwise.
“Then how does he explain how dictators like Kim Jong-un and Nicolás Maduro hold onto power?”
One part of how they hold onto power is by not actually attacking their neighbors and giving the international community reason to want to rock the boat and upset the existing order by supporting their deposition.
Sure, they may rattle their sabres and make a lot of threats, but they are not stupid enough to think that they can launch hot wars without consequences, especially ones they cannot win.