According to polls, the GOP should gain.
Historically the party in the White House loses seats in mid term elections. Biden has some of the lowest approval ratings of any president in history at this point in his term in office.
Has Nate Silver been correct in previous predictions? Is he a liberal shill? What’s his track record? Because he’s predicting events which very few others agree with.
He’s on the Democrats side
“Has Nate Silver been correct in previous predictions? Is he a liberal shill? What’s his track record?”
He was correct in 2012 - probably in large part because of Hurricane Sandy as polls were shifting away from his analysis until that happened.
Since then, hit or miss...but his 2012 prediction gave him “credibility” - he was way off in 2016.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S8jlymRjiO8
https://youtu.be/Dc7AHfk6AcM?t=1190