Comparing the partisan ratings for 2022 from fivethirtyeight.com against Charlie Cook’s ratings from 2020, it looks like the GOP was “favored” in 224 districts in 2020 and now will be favored in 219 (and that includes the new Florida map and assumes Missouri and New Hampshire stay the same in 2022 as they were in 2020).
In both year there are a few districts (3 or 4) rated as “even” which are not included in the GOP totals.
Right. That’s why this OP was so insanely stupid. It had nothing to do with the “Democrats increasing their majorities.”
Counting how much a district favors a particular party can be difficult and varies depending on the metric used.
The 224 on the 2010 maps sounds right without counting districts as “swing.”
Another count that I saw was 205 favorable GOP seats. 192 favorable to Democrat seats and 38 “swing seats.”
I think the GOP has a lower floor and the Democrats have a higher ceiling.
It will be tough for either party to get above 245 on the new maps throughout the decade given the lower number of swing seats.
The particular poster in the OP had been a long time concern troll before he disappeared.