Posted on 03/30/2022 7:48:26 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
The war between Russia and Ukraine is four weeks old. Speculation about possible landing operations has always existed, as Russia has reinforced its Black Sea Fleet with additional landing assets and the amphibious task force has been present in the Black Sea since the beginning of the war.
The possibility of a Russian amphibious operation has been on the table since the escalation of tensions between Ukraine and Russia. There have been strong indications pointing to a future landing operation, such as the deployment of additional landing ships to the Black Sea, the conduct of naval exercises based on amphibious operations in conjunction with airborne operations, etc.
On the other hand, Naval News recently mentioned in an analysis that an amphibious operation would be a risky decision for Russia, which can dominate the Black Sea without Ukrainian resistance, due to the structure of Ukrainian coasts and the general nature of amphibious operations, which require many casualties.
“Terrain constraints, amphibious lift limitations, difficulty sustaining air dominance, and logistical issues all point to the dangerous nature of any Russian amphibious operation in the Black Sea. As a result, Russia’s decision to start an amphibious operation is solely dependent on how much loss it can tolerate.”
*snip*
The Russian amphibious task force, which poses a direct threat to Odesa, has been stationed off the west of the Crimean Peninsula since the beginning of the war. The group usually stays south of Donuzlav Bay (probably for protection from the winds and waves coming from the north) and moves west to be visible from the coast, traversing between east and west.
On March 15, there were certain signs of Russia’s preparations for a landing at Odessa. According to H. I. Sutton’s OSINT analysis, three groups of ships were on their way to Odessa.
(Excerpt) Read more at navalnews.com ...
Nuke them from Space...
No matter where you land on Ukraine’s Black Sea coast, you will be stuck between rivers, estuaries, or reservoirs that lead away from the coast. It will then be very difficult to traverse along the coast. You need to go over 100 Km inland to find good crossings.
An “amphibious demonstration” was used by the United States and allies during the first Gulf War.
Ukis need Tow missiles. Also they should mine the
waters and beaches.
Stalling the Russians and using captured tanks
guns and captured ordinance to set up canon implacements
https://youtube.com/watch?v=SLA8znNclXg&feature=share
Yesterday I came across this news organization and like it. They have all sides on it and heated and pointed debates. Their take on Odessa right now…
The Ukrainians have artillery near most of the likely landing zones and any Russian ship getting within range is likely to take some serious damage.
Yup. The terrain in the southeast is riven by deep north-south gullies cut by rivers and streams flowing to the Black Sea or Azov. That’s also why attempts by Russia to cutoff the Ukrainian army in the east will be difficult. Their forces can follow only a narrow east-west strip to move south or north and then have to face an entrenched enemy in that strip and have difficulty outflanking.
“ Ukis need Tow missiles. Also they should mine the
waters and beaches.”
You mean like these?
https://youtube.com/watch?v=9sZuz4dlVAo&feature=share
Scroll to 13:44
Sadly they’ve been putting their giant spiked round steel ball sea mines all over civilian areas before they buggout of town.
I’ve seen two so far. The second was a day or two ago. Really amazing.
Like bizzarro world.
Why does the article keep changing the spelling of Odessa to Odesa then back again to Odessa? I’ve noticed this in other news reports too. Maybe the reporters don’t know and are covering their bases.
Probably for the same reason that Kiev became Kviv and then Kiev again. At least in some places.
Differences in the Cyrillic alphabet and the Roman alphabet do not translate one to one.
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