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To: All

Okay, let’s use our heads please.

1) Recall that the troops along the northern Ukraine border were in exercises for several months before the invasion. There was no surprise about fuel consumption or food consumption or even the bizarre Chinese tire theory consumption. They practiced consumption for literally months pre invasion. They knew exactly how many supplies would be required, and it’s only been one month. None such have been exhausted.

2) Their MoD had a General give an extensive speech the other day about exactly what they were doing tactically. It all revolves around the Donbas, because the military fights military battles and 75% of Ukraine’s military was at the Donbas facing east, away from Kiev. The column heading south from Belarus to Kiev headed substantially west of Kiev and then south. There has been no storming of Kiev because they have chosen not to for the time being.

3) Famous recent quote from Indian general: If I drove a column of armor and mechanized infantry to within 15 miles of Islamabad, who is going to tell me Pakistan is winning?

4) In war, if you’re giving up territory, you haven’t won.

5) The most important matter of all is something few know about. Ukraine has a single oil refinery with sufficient capacity to fuel the country. It is in Dnipro. It the only source of refined output. Crude comes north on the river and is refined there and distributed to the whole country. Russian troops will likely take possession of it soon. Shipping in gasoline and diesel from Europe is more or less impossible cost wise rather than distribute it from a central location. If Russia controls that refinery, fueling Ukraine will bankrupt the EU.


40 posted on 03/29/2022 8:43:20 AM PDT by Owen
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To: Owen

As for the Kyiv vs Kiev bullshit, everyone raise your hands if you still call the big city in South Vietnam . . . Saigon.


41 posted on 03/29/2022 8:46:54 AM PDT by Owen
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To: Owen

The fiction that Putin invaded Ukraine because he wanted to “de-Nazify” Ukraine and its government, and stop Ukraine from joining NATO, and all the other bullshit the pro-Russian water-carriers trotted out ad nauseum, has finally been laid bare. The invasion was about the control and monopoly of energy resources, and always was. Russia wants to control the gas and oil assets east of the Bug River. And Ukraine’s oil and gas resources are east of the Dneiper, in Crimea and the Donbas. Russia also wants to tap into and develop the natural gas deposits in the Black Sea, and he needs to eliminate Ukraine as a rival for those resources.

From the Energy Resource Guide:

“Ukraine has tremendous natural resources for meeting domestic oil and gas production needs, with estimates of approximately 900 billion cubic meters of proven reserves of natural gas. In Europe, Ukraine ranks second for gas reserves. Three Ukrainian regions contain hydrocarbons resources: the Dnipro-Donetsk basin, the Carpathian region in western Ukraine, and the Black Sea and Crimea region in the south. The Dnipro-Donetsk basin is a major oil and gas producing region accounting for 90 percent of all current Ukrainian production.”


63 posted on 03/29/2022 9:17:41 AM PDT by ought-six (Multiculturalism is national suicide, and political correctness is the cyanide capsule. )
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