Yes his analysis is over the top and I wonder why people like he and MacGregor are so very invested in the idea of Russian inevitable victory. And that Russia is the victim of aggression by NATO.
However, although I support Ukraine, there certainly is the chance that Russia will win. Russia is the much larger country and military, and can always achieve a break through, or a series of break throughs over a long period of time. Meanwhile, the Ukrainians are fighting well and receiving significant aid. But no other country has yet decided to come to their direct aid.
Putin obviously is facing a terrible loss and that makes him even more determined to push through to a victory.
If we had a strong American president,Russia might be bled out as we up our assistance to Ukraine.
So this could go either way.
But let’s recall at the beginning everyone thought Russia would prevail in a week or two. And at this point, Russia’s future is unclear even if it achieves “victory” Ukraine is destroyed and angry, the West is horrified, and Russia may reap the whirlwind. Maybe.
The only way the Russians win is by finding more manpower, and to do that they have to mobilize their conscript reservists. If you see them do that, it will be the turning point.