Posted on 03/17/2022 6:27:07 AM PDT by TigerLikesRoosterNew
Xi considered invading Taiwan this fall: FSB whistleblower
Document believed to be leaked from Russian FSB claims Xi considered invading Taiwan in fall for 'little victory to get re-elected'
By Keoni Everington, Taiwan News, Staff Writer
2022/03/16 11:38
TAIPEI (Taiwan News) — A whistleblower from Russia's Federal Security Service (FSB) reported that Chinese Chairman Xi Jinping (習近平) had considered launching an invasion of Taiwan in the fall of this year before the "window of opportunity" closed with the disastrous Russian invasion of Ukraine.
The head of the Russian human rights group Gulagu Net, Vladimir Osechkin, recently on Facebook began releasing documents containing Russian intelligence concerning the war in Ukraine. One document, which Osechkin claimed was written by an intelligence officer from an analytical unit of the FSB, apparently revealed China's original timeline for attacking Taiwan before Russia began its invasion.
According to the March 4 report, Xi had been "considering taking over Taiwan in the fall." Part of the rationale given for that timing was that Xi "needs his own little victory to get re-elected for a third term," a reference to the 20th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party, amid what the analyst described as a "colossal" power struggle among China's elite.
(Excerpt) Read more at taiwannews.com.tw ...
I am not sure it can be done before his scheduled reelection. If he tries, he may be in the same predicament Putin is in.
Just in time for the midterms.
Wonder what condos are going for on Quemoy and Matsu?
You are right. Geographically, for one thing will make it tough.
Unless they’re going to flatten the island, with blanket nukes, it won’t be easy.
These people have been free for over 70 years. You take their freedom away now? No way, they will go willingly.
AndI don’t see the benefit for China.
A lot of Chinese have relatives in Taiwan. They won’t sit back.
Apparently he is no longer considering it this year. Although if the US political situation notably deteriorates that could obviously change.
The Chinese army is as large as the entire population of the United States.
Completely irrelevant if they are in China and not in Taiwan. It will be a meatgrinder for the Chinese and a political disaster for Xi. There will already be global food shortages and sanctions levied for their aggression will result in famine in China. This could topple the CCP.
They would be stupid to attack Taiwan...
Taiwan should be manufacturing 1000s of surface to air manpads, antitank rockets, and drones…
“The Chinese army is as large as the entire population of the United States.”
No, it’s not, the US population is about 330 million.
The PLA ground forces number about 970,000, total armed forces about 2.8 million.
Oh, what’s an exponent among friends? ;-D
With the US bogged down in the new Central European Cold and/or Hot War, there’s no one to stop China. How many more trillions do keyboard cold warriors here advocate borrowing to finance this new European arms race? I’ve seen minuscule down payments of US billions already pissed away. By the way, where are the American troops going to come from for this two front World Cold War? Troop levels are no where near the levels for the generational Russian/American Ukrainian Conflict the warmongering neocons have committed us to and the deterrent and or war fighting troop needs for Asian meddling? We didn’t have a draft until we did. With the monolithic jingoism going on in DC, drafting American boys for both neocon meat grinders should be no problem.
😄
If this story is true, it is a credit to Trump’s Javelin missiles.
Trump’s willingness to send advanced weapons instead of blankets allowed Ukraine to resist and maybe survive, despite Biden enabling Putin with anti-American energy policy.
I am not sure there would be massive troop buildup in Europe as it did during Cold War. I think this would be a side-show compared with Asian theater unless Brandon screw it up further.
It could but think about his options. He has a dithering drooling idiot as his rival in the USA. He has a US military reeling from its own self-inflicted wounds by its joint chiefs feckless and leftist politically based idiocy. The US may or may not respond to any Chinese adventure in Taiwan. Hitler had several huge victories without a major war by calculating his enemies would not respond, the Sudetenland, the Rhineland, and Austria all fell with ease.
Good luck with us actually leveling sanctions. The retaliation would mean saying goodbye to a lot of things, including auto parts. And the Red Chinese WILL retaliate. After all, they unleashed the COVID virus upon the world, apparently quite deliberately.
So us leveling sanctions is unlikely.
We should give Taiwan, say, 5 nukes. Let them tell China, “Yeah you can likely conquer us, but which five of your five major cities are you willing seen reduced to a radioactive parking lots to do it.”
“The Chinese army is as large as the entire population of the United States.”
Approx. 2.6 million. Not even close.
With the current cozy relationship between our oligarchs and those of Red China, it is far more likely American troops would join the ChiComs in the assault on Taiwan.
I don’t know why Americans, seeing store shelves bursting with ChiCom junk and universities packed with ChiCom cadres, don’t see this. Taiwan does...
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