Posted on 03/12/2022 7:25:55 PM PST by SeekAndFind
Jim Hanson, a retired member of the U.S. Army Special Forces and president of the Security Studies Group, said in his assessment, Russian President Vladimir Putin’s plan in Ukraine is developing according to the Kremlin’s initial goals, except that the Russian military is floundering.
“I’ve known what his ultimate goal was from the beginning, and it was to gain recognition for Crimea, to take official control of the two Russian-speaking provinces, and at that point, to use a further incursion into Ukraine proper as a bargaining chip to get sanctions removed,” Hanson told the host of NTD’s Capitol Report, Steve Lance, in a March 8 interview.
“I think this is playing out pretty much as Vlad expected, except for the fact that his military vastly underperformed.” He said that Ukraine has been using the anti-aircraft equipment it has to undermine Russia’s military.
“What they also have, though, is the Russians have been not particularly good at the tactics they’ve been using. I mean, one of the more famous shots is an attack helicopter being ambushed. And you can’t ambush an attack helicopter unless it’s flying a route you knew it was going to be on.”
“So, I think the Russians are making some mistakes. And I think the technology and the capabilities that Ukraine had and has been given have made it a lot more dangerous for the Russians to think they can fly unopposed.”
Hanson said the offer from Poland, a NATO member, to give fighter jets to the United States, who would, in turn, give those jets to Ukraine, is making the war more dangerous.
“It absolutely heightens tensions between the U.S. and Russia because … at some level, those are NATO aircraft. I mean, Poland can give them to Ukraine and say, ‘Well, this is outside of our function as a NATO member.’ Putin does not see it that way and does not have to see it that way, and I think that vastly increases the danger.”
Hanson sees the Kremlin’s demands to take Crimea and the two provinces of Luhansk and Donetsk like an off-ramp to the war, as the land Putin is asking for is already either aligned with Russia or under its control.
“Crimea is definitely part of Russia at this point, for all intents and purposes, the two Russian-speaking provinces were in everything but name, and now they’re asking for independence. And at that point, if they’re independent, they will almost certainly join the Russian Federation.”
Hanson said another of Putin’s demands is that Ukraine not join NATO. So far, Ukraine has turned down Russia’s demands. Hanson believes Ukrainians have shown Putin they will not submit to his violent attempts to take their country.
“I don’t believe it really ever was [Putin’s] goal to take and keep Ukraine, because I can’t imagine many places other than Afghanistan that would have a more powerful and dangerous insurgency if you managed to topple their government.”
Hanson said if Russia did try to occupy Ukraine, they would “keep it at a very, very high cost in blood and treasure.”
Kramer was right. Ukraine is weak.
Which will just keep the cycle repeating even after Putin leaves the stage. We blew it after the Cold War to try to bring Russia into the fold.
Biden has been absolutely pathetic in his public speeches about this Ukraine conflict...and even this country. Never saw such a loser president - and his side kick for that matter.
The Ex Military are indeed everywhere - believing they know how to read Putins mind and how his military is moving. Few if any get it right because they aren’t there.
Putin will stop once he’s attained his military objectives as I see it.
Zelensky will try now to come out smelling like a rose and get something out of it rather than just destroyed cities and dead bodies for his effort.
That’s an awful thing to say.
Drone. It was a stabilized system too.
My guess.
There are very few of the latest tech. There are only 50 or so of the T-14’s and even the T-90 is mainly for export, Russia seems to have made only 500 or so for itself. And so on for everything else they have. That’s why the predominant tanks they have been using are upgraded T-72’s and T-80’s.
Their standing army is also rather small and has to cover commitments across an enormous area. As it is they seem to have committed about 1/3 of its manpower and maybe up to half its combat “teeth” units to Ukraine. The bulk of Russian military potential is in its conscript reservists, but they don’t seem to have set that system up for easy or quick mobilization. And their reserve equipment would be even older, unupgraded 1970’s-80’s stuff that may take some doing to get into running order. We are already seeing some of that equipment showing up on Russian videos, ironically. Russia can win by swamping the Ukes Soviet style, but it will take an effort.
Just what we need, more censorship. Haven’t we had enough of that over low cost Covid treatments? Ukraine may not be winning, but neither is Russia in the long run. Here is an interesting link on odd behavior by confused Russian troops.
https://www.aol.com/news/don-t-know-survived-family-093014345.html What happened to one family after being allowed past a Russian checkpoint.
New information. Apparently one of the goals of Putin is to get land access to Crimea. They don’t already have that? Maybe they could be granted something like the Danzig Corridor to solve that if it is truly a problem.
Apparently one of the goals of Putin is to get land access to Crimea. They don’t already have that?
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What I heard is US, NATO, someone is suggesting that the US accept Russian control of the Crimea - that may or may not be true from the confusing video clip.
It’s difficult to get a clear objective picture of what is happening, but this analysis seems to provide the most reasonable account that matches the bits and pieces of believable information.
All I know is that the Soros/DNC/media clan is FIGHTING LIKE HELL to protect Ukraine...something they sure as hell didn’t do for Serbia or the numerous other countries we’ve bombed in the recent past.
Hopefully, we’ll find out their end game, before becoming victims of it.
But it knew where to be and where to point the camera.
A matter of time. And casualties. Just depends on how many Russia is willing to accept.
I saw him and had to immediately turn the channel....lot of guys/girls lost everything under his lackluster leadership. Hackworth’s definition of a perfumed prince
Yep, it was posted to provide imagery to a combat unit for a particular reason. Maybe monitoring enemy units for an ambush. I think the helo was probably covering a road column. The MANPAD guy was probably part of the ambush. Very good precaution if a column has helicopter cover.
He’s right Putin is not planning to occupy the Ukraine. He’s getting rid of the NWO there.
What if He eventually occupies Ukraine... will you change your mind?
Yes, but that’s highly unlikely. The Ukraine is broke. It would be a welfare state. Putin wants the Ukraine like we want Puerto Rico as the 51st state.
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