No doubt he was goofing around with her. Its hard enough to hit a person with a handgun with one shot much less kill them outright. If one drew a cone from the muzzle to the distance from the victim, not exceeding a 45 degree angle, I’d bet <1% of the endpoints would be on the victim and 10% of that would be body mass. He was pointing right at her. Had to be.
Miracle shots often bypass the thought process. The brain has all the data it needs to hit a target. Think long - hit wrong.
No matter what turns this case takes Baldwin will be haunted the rest of his miserable days. Criminality or not, dismissed suits or not.. gonna be a big hassle, like a disease.
He’d have checked if it was a suicide scene.